310 lines
11 KiB
Markdown
310 lines
11 KiB
Markdown
# Financial Unit Economics Templates
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Quick-start templates for calculating CAC, LTV, contribution margin, and cohort analysis.
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## Unit Definition Template
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**Business model**: [Subscription / Transactional / Marketplace / Freemium / Enterprise]
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**Unit of analysis**: [What are you measuring?]
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- Customer (entire relationship)
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- Subscription (per subscription period)
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- Transaction (per purchase)
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- Product SKU (per product sold)
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- User (active user)
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**Time period**: [Monthly / Quarterly / Annual cohorts]
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**Segments** (if analyzing by segment):
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- [ ] Acquisition channel (paid search, organic, referral, etc.)
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- [ ] Customer type (B2B vs B2C, SMB vs Enterprise)
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- [ ] Geography (US, EU, APAC)
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- [ ] Product tier (Free, Pro, Enterprise)
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---
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## CAC Calculation Template
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**Customer Acquisition Cost (CAC)** = Total acquisition costs ÷ New customers acquired
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### Fully-Loaded CAC
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**Sales & Marketing Costs** (period: [Month/Quarter/Year])
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| Cost Category | Amount | Notes |
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|---------------|--------|-------|
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| **Marketing spend** | $[X] | Paid ads, content marketing, events, tools |
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| **Sales team salaries** | $[X] | Base + commission + benefits |
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| **Sales tools & software** | $[X] | CRM, sales engagement, analytics |
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| **Marketing team salaries** | $[X] | Marketers, designers, contractors |
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| **Overhead allocation** | $[X] | % of office, admin costs attributable to S&M |
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| **Other** | $[X] | [Specify] |
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| **Total S&M Cost** | **$[X]** | Sum of above |
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**New customers acquired** (same period): [N]
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**CAC = $[Total Cost] ÷ [N customers] = $[CAC per customer]**
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### CAC by Channel
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Break down CAC by acquisition channel to identify most/least efficient channels.
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| Channel | S&M Spend | New Customers | CAC | Notes |
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|---------|-----------|---------------|-----|-------|
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| Paid Search | $[X] | [N] | $[X/N] | [Google Ads, Bing] |
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| Paid Social | $[X] | [N] | $[X/N] | [Facebook, LinkedIn, etc.] |
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| Content/SEO | $[X] | [N] | $[X/N] | [Organic, blog, SEO tools] |
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| Referral | $[X] | [N] | $[X/N] | [Referral program costs] |
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| Direct | $[X] | [N] | $[X/N] | [Type-in, brand awareness] |
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| Other | $[X] | [N] | $[X/N] | [Specify] |
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| **Total** | **$[X]** | **[N]** | **$[Blended CAC]** | Fully-loaded blended CAC |
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**Insight**: [Which channels are most/least efficient? Where to increase/decrease spend?]
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---
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## LTV Calculation Template
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**Lifetime Value (LTV)** = Revenue over customer lifetime × Gross margin %
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Choose calculation method based on business model:
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### LTV (Subscription Model)
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```
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LTV = ARPU × Gross Margin % ÷ Monthly Churn Rate
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```
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**Inputs**:
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- **ARPU** (Average Revenue Per User): $[X]/month
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- **Gross Margin %**: [X]% (Revenue - COGS) ÷ Revenue
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- **Monthly Churn Rate**: [X]% (customers lost ÷ starting customers)
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**Calculation**:
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- **Customer Lifetime** = 1 ÷ Churn Rate = 1 ÷ [X]% = [Y] months
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- **LTV** = $[ARPU] × [Y months] × [Gross Margin %] = **$[LTV]**
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### LTV (Transactional Model)
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```
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LTV = AOV × Purchase Frequency × Gross Margin % × Customer Lifetime (years)
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```
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**Inputs**:
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- **AOV** (Average Order Value): $[X] per transaction
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- **Purchase Frequency**: [Y] purchases/year
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- **Gross Margin %**: [Z]%
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- **Customer Lifetime**: [N] years
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**Calculation**:
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- **Annual Revenue per Customer** = $[AOV] × [Frequency] = $[X]/year
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- **LTV** = $[Annual Revenue] × [Lifetime years] × [Gross Margin %] = **$[LTV]**
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### LTV (Marketplace / Platform)
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```
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LTV = GMV per user × Take Rate × Gross Margin % ÷ Churn Rate
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```
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**Inputs**:
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- **GMV per user** (monthly): $[X]
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- **Take Rate**: [Y]% (platform's % of GMV)
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- **Gross Margin %**: [Z]% (after variable costs)
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- **Monthly Churn Rate**: [C]%
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**Calculation**:
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- **Monthly Revenue per User** = $[GMV] × [Take Rate] = $[X]/month
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- **Customer Lifetime** = 1 ÷ [Churn] = [Y] months
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- **LTV** = $[Monthly Rev] × [Lifetime] × [Gross Margin %] = **$[LTV]**
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### LTV by Cohort (Observed Retention)
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More accurate: Use actual retention data from cohorts.
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**Example Cohort Retention Table** (% of customers remaining):
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| Month | Cohort Jan | Cohort Feb | Cohort Mar | Average |
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|-------|------------|------------|------------|---------|
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| 0 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
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| 1 | 95% | 94% | 96% | 95% |
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| 2 | 88% | 86% | 89% | 88% |
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| 3 | 80% | 78% | 82% | 80% |
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| 6 | 65% | 62% | - | 64% |
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| 12 | 45% | - | - | 45% |
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**LTV Calculation**:
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- Sum: Month 0 revenue + (Month 1 retention × revenue) + (Month 2 retention × revenue) + ...
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- **LTV** = ARPU × Gross Margin × Σ(retention %) = **$[X]**
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---
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## Contribution Margin Template
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**Contribution Margin %** = (Revenue - Variable Costs) ÷ Revenue
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### Revenue & Variable Costs
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| Item | Per Unit | Notes |
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|------|----------|-------|
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| **Revenue** | $[X] | Subscription fee / Sale price / Transaction value |
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| **Variable Costs:** | | (costs that scale with each unit) |
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| - COGS | $[X] | Product cost, manufacturing |
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| - Hosting / Infrastructure | $[X] | Per-user server costs |
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| - Payment processing | $[X] | Stripe/PayPal fees (~2-3%) |
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| - Support | $[X] | Per-customer support time |
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| - Shipping | $[X] | Fulfillment, delivery |
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| - Other variable | $[X] | [Specify] |
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| **Total Variable Costs** | **$[Y]** | Sum |
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| **Contribution Margin** | **$[X - Y]** | Revenue - Variable Costs |
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| **Contribution Margin %** | **[(X-Y)/X]%** | Margin as % |
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**Interpretation**:
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- **High margin (>60%)**: Strong unit economics, room for high CAC
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- **Medium margin (40-60%)**: Acceptable, need disciplined CAC management
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- **Low margin (<40%)**: Challenging, requires very efficient acquisition or high LTV
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**Levers to improve margin**:
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- [ ] Increase pricing (improve revenue per unit)
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- [ ] Reduce COGS (negotiate supplier costs, economies of scale)
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- [ ] Optimize infrastructure (reduce hosting costs per user)
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- [ ] Automate support (reduce manual support time)
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- [ ] Negotiate payment fees (lower processing costs)
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---
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## Cohort Analysis Template
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Track retention, LTV, and payback by customer acquisition cohort (month, channel, segment).
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### Retention Cohort Table
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| Cohort (Month Acquired) | M0 | M1 | M2 | M3 | M6 | M12 | LTV | CAC | LTV/CAC | Payback (months) |
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|-------------------------|----|----|----|----|----|----|-----|-----|---------|------------------|
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| Jan 2024 | 100% | 92% | 84% | 78% | 62% | 42% | $1,200 | $300 | 4.0 | 4.5 |
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| Feb 2024 | 100% | 90% | 81% | 75% | 60% | - | $1,150 | $320 | 3.6 | 5.0 |
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| Mar 2024 | 100% | 93% | 86% | 80% | 65% | - | $1,300 | $280 | 4.6 | 4.0 |
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| Apr 2024 | 100% | 91% | 83% | 77% | - | - | $1,100 | $350 | 3.1 | 5.5 |
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| **Average** | **100%** | **91.5%** | **83.5%** | **77.5%** | **62.3%** | **42%** | **$1,188** | **$313** | **3.8** | **4.8** |
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**Insights**:
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- [Are newer cohorts performing better or worse than older cohorts?]
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- [Which cohorts have best/worst retention?]
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- [Is LTV improving over time?]
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- [Is CAC increasing or decreasing?]
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### Cohort by Channel
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| Channel | # Customers | Avg LTV | Avg CAC | LTV/CAC | 12M Retention | Payback (months) |
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|---------|-------------|---------|---------|---------|---------------|------------------|
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| Paid Search | 500 | $800 | $250 | 3.2 | 35% | 6.0 |
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| Organic | 300 | $1,500 | $150 | 10.0 | 55% | 3.0 |
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| Referral | 200 | $1,800 | $100 | 18.0 | 60% | 2.5 |
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| Paid Social | 400 | $700 | $300 | 2.3 | 30% | 7.0 |
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| **Total** | **1,400** | **$1,050** | **$225** | **4.7** | **42%** | **5.0** |
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**Insights**:
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- [Best channels: Referral (high LTV, low CAC, fast payback, high retention)]
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- [Worst channels: Paid Social (low LTV, high CAC, slow payback, low retention)]
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- [Action: Increase referral investment, reduce or pause paid social]
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---
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## Interpretation Template
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### LTV/CAC Ratio Analysis
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**Your LTV/CAC**: [X:1]
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| Range | Assessment | Action |
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|-------|------------|--------|
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| <1:1 | **Unsustainable**: Losing money on every customer | Stop growth, fix model or pivot |
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| 1:1 - 2:1 | **Marginal**: Barely profitable | Don't scale yet, improve retention or reduce CAC |
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| 2:1 - 3:1 | **Acceptable**: Unit economics work | Optimize before scaling |
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| 3:1 - 5:1 | **Good**: Can profitably grow | Scale marketing spend |
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| >5:1 | **Excellent**: Strong economics | Aggressive scale, raise capital |
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**Your assessment**: [Based on ratio above]
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### Payback Period Analysis
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**Your Payback Period**: [X] months
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| Range | Assessment | Cash Impact |
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|-------|------------|-------------|
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| <6 months | **Excellent**: Fast capital recovery | Can reinvest quickly, fuel growth |
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| 6-12 months | **Good**: Reasonable payback | Manageable cash needs |
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| 12-18 months | **Acceptable**: Slower recovery | Need patient capital |
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| >18 months | **Challenging**: Long payback | High cash burn, risky |
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**Your assessment**: [Based on payback above]
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### Combined Decision Framework
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| Your Metrics | Recommendation |
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| LTV/CAC: [X:1] | [Assessment from table above] |
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| Payback: [Y] months | [Assessment from table above] |
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| Gross Margin: [Z]% | [Good ≥60% (SaaS) / ≥40% (ecommerce), or needs improvement] |
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| **Overall** | **[Stop / Optimize / Scale / Aggressive Scale]** |
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### Recommendations
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**Pricing**:
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- [ ] [Increase price to improve margin and LTV]
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- [ ] [Add premium tier for upsell]
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- [ ] [Reduce price to increase conversion]
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- [ ] [No change needed]
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**Channels**:
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- [ ] [Increase spend on: [channels with best LTV/CAC]]
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- [ ] [Reduce or pause spend on: [channels with poor LTV/CAC]]
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- [ ] [Test new channels: [suggestions]]
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**Retention**:
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- [ ] [Improve onboarding to reduce early churn]
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- [ ] [Add features to increase engagement]
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- [ ] [Customer success program for high-value customers]
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- [ ] [Loyalty/referral program to increase repeat]
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**Growth**:
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- [ ] [Scale aggressively: Economics support growth]
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- [ ] [Optimize first: Improve metrics before scaling]
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- [ ] [Pause growth: Fix unit economics]
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**Cash & Fundraising**:
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- [ ] [Raise funding to fuel growth (if LTV/CAC >3:1 and payback <12 months)]
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- [ ] [Focus on profitability (if LTV/CAC 2-3:1 and payback 12-18 months)]
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- [ ] [Reduce burn (if LTV/CAC <2:1)]
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---
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## Quick Example: SaaS Startup
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**Unit**: Customer (subscription)
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**CAC**: $20k marketing, 100 customers → **$200 CAC**
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**LTV**:
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- ARPU: $100/month
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- Gross Margin: 80%
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- Monthly Churn: 5% → Lifetime = 1/0.05 = 20 months
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- **LTV** = $100 × 20 × 80% = **$1,600**
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**Metrics**:
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- **LTV/CAC**: $1,600 / $200 = **8:1** ✓ Excellent
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- **Payback**: $200 ÷ ($100 × 80%) = **2.5 months** ✓ Excellent
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- **Gross Margin**: **80%** ✓ Strong
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**Recommendation**: **Aggressive scale**. Economics are excellent (8:1 LTV/CAC, 2.5 month payback). Raise capital, increase marketing spend 2-3×, hire sales team, expand to new channels.
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---
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## Common Mistakes to Avoid
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1. **Not using cohort data**: Don't average retention across all time periods. Recent cohorts may behave differently.
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2. **Excluding costs**: Don't forget sales salaries, support, payment fees, refunds.
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3. **Vanity LTV**: Don't project 5-year LTV with 1 month of data. Use observed retention only.
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4. **Ignoring channels**: Don't blend CAC across all channels. Analyze each separately.
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5. **Fixed vs variable costs**: Don't include fixed costs (engineering, rent) in contribution margin. Only variable costs that scale with units.
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6. **Not updating**: Re-calculate quarterly. Unit economics change as you scale, market shifts, competition intensifies.
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