34 lines
1.5 KiB
Markdown
34 lines
1.5 KiB
Markdown
---
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name: run-forecast
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description: Generates revenue forecast scenarios, compares to targets, and highlights risks/opportunities.
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usage: /revenue-forecasting-pipeline:run-forecast --timeframe Q1 --scenario base --confidence 0.8
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---
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# Command: run-forecast
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## Inputs
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- **timeframe** – period to forecast (Q1, Q2, FY, rolling-90).
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- **scenario** – base | upside | downside | custom.
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- **confidence** – numeric (0-1) to tune risk weighting.
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- **drivers** – optional overrides for win rates, ASP, capacity, churn, expansion.
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- **notes** – optional context for scenario assumptions.
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## Workflow
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1. **Input Gathering** – pull pipeline snapshot, bookings actuals, macro assumptions, and overrides.
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2. **Driver Application** – adjust conversion rates, stage weightings, and coverage multipliers per scenario.
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3. **Model Execution** – compute bookings forecast, ARR impact, cash flow pacing, and contribution by segment.
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4. **Variance Comparison** – benchmark vs targets, prior forecast, and budget.
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5. **Insights & Actions** – flag risk areas, required pipeline creation, and mitigation plays.
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## Outputs
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- Scenario forecast table (segment → commit/upside/downside → delta vs goal).
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- Driver sheet summarizing assumptions and overrides.
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- Action plan for pipeline creation or acceleration.
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## Agent/Skill Invocations
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- `forecast-architect` – owns methodology and interpretation.
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- `forecast-modeling` skill – provides model templates + sensitivity analysis.
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- `revops-analyst` – validates inputs and risk tags.
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---
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