35 lines
1.6 KiB
Markdown
35 lines
1.6 KiB
Markdown
---
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name: build-forecast-scenarios
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description: Generates base/upside/downside revenue forecasts with signal-based adjustments.
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usage: /revenue-analytics:build-forecast-scenarios --horizon q4 --granularity weekly --confidence 80 --include-renewals true
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---
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# Command: build-forecast-scenarios
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## Inputs
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- **horizon** – timeframe (month, quarter, fiscal_year).
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- **granularity** – cadence for projections (weekly, monthly, cohort).
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- **confidence** – confidence band (70/80/90) for intervals.
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- **include-renewals** – true/false to layer in CS signals.
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- **drivers** – optional JSON/CSV with macro/product/usage adjustments.
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## Workflow
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1. **Signal Intake** – collect bookings actuals, pipeline, product usage, renewal, and macro drivers.
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2. **Model Calibration** – update conversion rates, seasonality factors, and growth coefficients.
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3. **Scenario Generation** – produce base/upside/downside plus stress tests tied to driver toggles.
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4. **Variance Commentary** – explain changes vs prior forecast and targets.
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5. **Action Mapping** – recommend GTM + finance moves aligned to each scenario.
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## Outputs
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- Forecast workbook (base/upside/downside) with drivers and confidence bands.
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- Variance memo explaining deltas vs prior outlook.
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- Action register tied to scenarios (investment, enablement, hiring, demand gen).
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## Agent/Skill Invocations
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- `revenue-forecasting-analyst` – owns modeling + scenario analysis.
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- `revenue-intelligence-director` – crafts executive narrative.
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- `cohort-analysis` skill – benchmarks cohorts to validate assumptions.
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- `exec-briefing-kit` skill – packages summary for leadership/board.
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---
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