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gh-lyndonkl-claude/skills/chain-roleplay-debate-synthesis/resources/methodology.md
2025-11-30 08:38:26 +08:00

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Advanced Roleplay → Debate → Synthesis Methodology

Workflow

Copy this checklist for advanced techniques:

Advanced Facilitation Progress:
- [ ] Step 1: Map stakeholder landscape and power dynamics
- [ ] Step 2: Design multi-round debate structure
- [ ] Step 3: Facilitate with anti-pattern awareness
- [ ] Step 4: Synthesize under uncertainty and constraints
- [ ] Step 5: Adapt communication for different audiences

Step 1: Map stakeholder landscape Identify all stakeholders, map influence and interest, understand power dynamics and coalitions, determine who must be represented in the debate. See 1. Stakeholder Mapping for power-interest matrix and role selection strategy.

Step 2: Design multi-round structure Plan debate rounds (diverge, converge, iterate), allocate time appropriately, choose debate formats for each round, set decision criteria upfront. See 2. Multi-Round Debate Structure for three-round framework and time management.

Step 3: Facilitate with anti-pattern awareness Recognize when debates go wrong (premature consensus, dominance, false dichotomies), intervene with techniques to surface genuine tensions, ensure all perspectives get authentic hearing. See 3. Facilitation Anti-Patterns for common failures and interventions.

Step 4: Synthesize under uncertainty Handle incomplete information, conflicting evidence, and irreducible disagreement. Use conditional strategies and monitoring plans. See 4. Synthesis Under Uncertainty for approaches when evidence is incomplete.

Step 5: Adapt communication Tailor synthesis narrative for technical, executive, and operational audiences. Emphasize different aspects for different stakeholders. See 5. Audience-Perspective Adaptation for stakeholder-specific messaging.


1. Stakeholder Mapping

Power-Interest Matrix

High Power, High InterestManage Closely

  • Must be represented in debate
  • Concerns must be addressed
  • Examples: Executive sponsor, Product owner, Key customer

High Power, Low InterestKeep Satisfied

  • Consult but may not need full representation
  • Examples: CFO (if not budget owner), Adjacent VP, Legal

Low Power, High InterestKeep Informed

  • Valuable input, may aggregate into broader role
  • Examples: End users, Support team, Implementation team

Low Power, Low InterestMonitor

  • Don't need direct representation

Role Selection Strategy

Must include:

  • Primary decision-maker or proxy
  • Implementation owner
  • Resource controller (budget, people, time)
  • Risk owner

Should include:

  • Key affected stakeholders (customer, user)
  • Domain expert
  • Devil's advocate

Aggregation when >5 stakeholders:

  • Combine similar perspectives into archetype roles
  • Rotate roles across debate rounds
  • Focus on distinct viewpoints, not individuals

Coalition Identification

Common coalitions:

  • Revenue: Sales, Marketing, Growth → prioritize growth
  • Quality: Engineering, Support, Brand → prioritize quality
  • Efficiency: Finance, Operations → prioritize cost
  • Innovation: R&D, Product, Strategy → prioritize new capabilities

Why matters: Coalitions amplify perspectives. Synthesis must address coalition concerns, not just individual roles.


2. Multi-Round Debate Structure

Three-Round Framework

Round 1: Diverge (30-45 min)

  • Goal: Surface all perspectives
  • Format: Sequential roleplay (no interruption)
  • Outcome: Clear understanding of each position

Round 2: Engage (45-60 min)

  • Goal: Surface tensions, challenge assumptions, identify cruxes
  • Format: Point-counterpoint or constructive confrontation
  • Facilitation: Direct traffic, push for specifics, surface cruxes, note agreements

Round 3: Converge (30-45 min)

  • Goal: Build unified recommendation
  • Format: Collaborative synthesis
  • Facilitation: Propose patterns, test against roles, refine, check coherence

Adaptive Structures

Two-round (simpler decisions): Roleplay+Debate → Synthesis

Four-round (complex decisions): Positions → Challenge → Refine → Synthesize

Iterative: Initial synthesis → Test → Refine → Repeat


3. Facilitation Anti-Patterns

Premature Consensus

Symptoms: Roles agree quickly without genuine debate Fix: Play devil's advocate, test with edge cases, give permission to disagree

Dominant Voice

Symptoms: One role speaks 70%+ of time, others defer Fix: Explicit turn-taking, direct questions to quieter roles, affirm contributions

Talking Past Each Other

Symptoms: Roles make points but don't engage Fix: Make dimensions explicit, force direct engagement, summarize and redirect

False Dichotomies

Symptoms: "Either X or we fail" Fix: Challenge dichotomy, explore spectrum, introduce alternatives, reframe

Appeal to Authority

Symptoms: "CEO wants X, so we do X" Fix: Ask for underlying reasoning, question applicability, examine evidence

Strawman Arguments

Symptoms: Weak versions of opposing views Fix: Steelman request, direct to role for their articulation, empathy prompt

Analysis Paralysis

Symptoms: "Need more data" endlessly Fix: Set decision deadline, clarify decision criteria, good-enough threshold


4. Synthesis Under Uncertainty

When Evidence is Incomplete

Conditional strategy with learning triggers:

  • "Start with X. Monitor [metric]. If [threshold] not met by [date], switch to Y."

Reversible vs. irreversible:

  • Choose reversible option first
  • Example: "Buy SaaS (reversible). Only build custom if SaaS proves inadequate after 6 months."

Small bets and experiments:

  • Run pilots before full commitment
  • Example: "Test feature with 10% users. Rollout to 100% only if retention improves >5%."

Information value calculation:

  • Is value of additional information worth the delay?

When Roles Fundamentally Disagree

Disagree and commit:

  • Make decision, all commit to making it work
  • Document disagreement for learning

Escalate to decision-maker:

  • Present both perspectives clearly
  • Let higher authority break tie

Parallel paths (if resources allow):

  • Pursue both approaches simultaneously
  • Let data decide which to scale

Defer decision:

  • Explicitly choose to wait
  • Set conditions for revisiting

When Constraints Shift Mid-Debate

Revisit assumptions:

  • Which roles' positions change given new constraint?

Re-prioritize:

  • Given new constraint, what's binding now?

Scope reduction:

  • What can we cut to stay within constraints?

Challenge the constraint:

  • Is the new constraint real or negotiable?

5. Audience-Perspective Adaptation

For Executives

Focus: Strategic impact, ROI, risk, competitive positioning

  • Bottom-line recommendation (1 sentence)
  • Strategic rationale (2-3 bullets)
  • Financial impact (costs, benefits, ROI)
  • Risk summary (top 2 risks + mitigations)
  • Competitive implications

Format: 1-page executive summary

For Technical Teams

Focus: Implementation feasibility, technical tradeoffs, timeline, resources

  • Technical approach (how)
  • Architecture decisions and rationale
  • Resource requirements (people, time, tools)
  • Technical risks and mitigation
  • Success metrics (technical KPIs)

Format: 2-3 page technical brief

For Operational Teams

Focus: Customer impact, ease of execution, support burden, messaging

  • Customer value proposition
  • Operational changes (what changes for them)
  • Training and enablement needs
  • Support implications
  • Timeline and rollout plan

Format: Operational guide


6. Advanced Debate Formats

Socratic Dialogue

Purpose: Deep exploration through questioning Method: One role (Socrates) asks probing questions, other responds Questions: "What do you mean by [term]?", "Why is that important?", "What if opposite were true?"

Steelman Debate

Purpose: Understand deeply before challenging Method: Role B steelmans Role A's argument (stronger than A did), then challenges Why works: Forces genuine understanding, surfaces real strengths

Pre-Mortem Debate

Purpose: Surface risks and failure modes Method: Assume decision X failed. Each role explains why from their perspective Repeat for each alternative

Fishbowl Debate

Purpose: Represent multiple layers (decision-makers + affected parties) Format: Inner circle debates, outer circle observes, pause periodically for outer circle input

Delphi Method

Purpose: Aggregate expert opinions without groupthink Format: Round 1 (anonymous positions) → Share → Round 2 (revise) → Repeat until convergence


7. Complex Synthesis Patterns

Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA)

When: Multiple competing criteria, can't integrate narratively

Method:

  1. Identify criteria (from role perspectives): Cost, Speed, Quality, Risk, Customer Impact
  2. Weight criteria (based on priorities): Sum to 100%
  3. Score alternatives (1-5 scale per criterion)
  4. Calculate weighted scores
  5. Sensitivity analysis on weights

Pareto Frontier Analysis

When: Two competing objectives with tradeoff curve

Method:

  1. Plot alternatives on two dimensions (e.g., Cost vs Quality)
  2. Identify Pareto frontier (non-dominated alternatives)
  3. Choose based on priorities

Real Options Analysis

When: Decision can be staged with learning opportunities

Method:

  1. Identify decision points (Now: invest $X, Later: decide based on results)
  2. Map scenarios and outcomes
  3. Calculate option value (flexibility value - upfront commitment value)

8. Facilitation Best Practices

Reading the Room

Verbal cues:

  • Hesitation: "Well, I guess..." (not convinced)
  • Qualifiers: "Maybe", "Possibly" (hedging)
  • Repetition: Saying same point multiple times (not feeling heard)

Facilitation responses:

  • Check in: "I sense hesitation. Can you say more?"
  • Affirm: "I hear X is important. Let's address that."
  • Give space: "Let's pause and hear from [quieter person]."

Managing Conflict

Productive (encourage):

  • Disagreement on ideas (not people)
  • Specificity, evidence-based, openness to changing mind

Unproductive (intervene):

  • Personal attacks, generalizations, dismissiveness, stonewalling

Interventions: Reframe (focus on idea), ground in evidence, seek understanding, take break

Building Toward Synthesis

Incremental agreement: Note areas of agreement as they emerge

Trial balloons: Float potential synthesis ideas early, gauge reactions

Role-checking: Test synthesis against each role iteratively

Closing the Debate

Signals: Positions clear, tensions explored, cruxes identified, repetition, time pressure

Transition: "We've heard all perspectives. Now let's build unified recommendation."

Final check: "Can everyone live with this?" "What would make this 10% better for each of you?"


9. Case Studies

For detailed worked examples showing stakeholder mapping, multi-round debates, and complex synthesis:


Summary

Key principles:

  1. Map the landscape: Understand stakeholders, power dynamics, coalitions before designing debate

  2. Structure for depth: Multiple rounds allow positions to evolve as understanding deepens

  3. Recognize anti-patterns: Premature consensus, dominant voice, talking past, false dichotomies, appeal to authority, strawmen, analysis paralysis

  4. Synthesize under uncertainty: Conditional strategies, reversible decisions, small bets, monitoring plans

  5. Adapt communication: Tailor for executives (strategic), technical teams (implementation), operational teams (execution)

  6. Master advanced formats: Socratic dialogue, steelman, pre-mortem, fishbowl, Delphi for different contexts

  7. Facilitate skillfully: Read the room, manage conflict productively, build incremental agreement, know when to close

The best synthesis integrates insights from all perspectives, addresses real concerns, makes tradeoffs explicit, and results in a decision better than any single viewpoint alone.