--- name: trading-plan-generator description: Generate comprehensive trading plans with risk management, position sizing, entry/exit strategies, and performance tracking to trade with discipline and consistency. --- # Trading Plan Generator A comprehensive skill for creating disciplined, rule-based trading plans that help you manage risk, control emotions, and trade consistently. ## What This Skill Does Helps you create professional trading plans for: - **Day Trading** - Intraday positions, quick scalps - **Swing Trading** - Multi-day to multi-week positions - **Position Trading** - Long-term trend following - **Options Trading** - Directional and income strategies - **Investing** - Long-term portfolio management ## Why You Need a Trading Plan **Without a plan:** - Emotional, impulsive decisions - Inconsistent position sizing - No clear entry/exit rules - Revenge trading after losses - Account blowup risk - Can't identify what works **With a plan:** - Disciplined, rule-based trading - Consistent risk management - Clear decision framework - Emotional control - Long-term profitability - Measurable improvement **The Stats:** - 90% of traders fail (most have no plan) - Professional traders ALL have written plans - Plan + discipline = edge ## Core Components of a Trading Plan ### 1. Trading Goals & Mindset - Financial goals (realistic) - Time commitment - Risk tolerance - Trading philosophy - Success definition ### 2. Risk Management (MOST IMPORTANT) - Maximum risk per trade (1-2% recommended) - Maximum daily loss limit - Maximum drawdown tolerance - Position sizing rules - Stop-loss requirements - Risk/reward minimums ### 3. Market Selection - What markets you trade (stocks, forex, crypto, options) - Liquidity requirements - Price range preferences - Sector focus (if any) - What you DON'T trade ### 4. Trading Setup Criteria - Entry signals (technical/fundamental) - Confirmation requirements - Timeframes used - Pattern recognition - Market condition filters ### 5. Entry Rules - Exact entry triggers - Order types (market, limit, stop) - Position sizing calculation - Scaling in (if allowed) - Time-of-day restrictions ### 6. Exit Rules - Stop-loss placement (hard rules) - Take-profit targets - Trailing stop strategies - Time-based exits - Scaling out rules - Break-even stops ### 7. Trade Management - When to adjust stops - When to add to position - When to reduce size - When to exit early - Never scenarios (what you never do) ### 8. Psychology & Discipline - Pre-market routine - Emotional state check - Tilt recognition - Break requirements - End-of-day review - Accountability measures ### 9. Performance Tracking - Trade journal requirements - Metrics to track - Review frequency - Improvement process - Strategy adjustment criteria ## Risk Management Frameworks ### The 1% Rule (Recommended for Most Traders) **Never risk more than 1% of account on single trade** **Example:** - Account size: $50,000 - Maximum risk per trade: $500 (1%) - Stock entry: $100 - Stop-loss: $98 - Risk per share: $2 - Position size: $500 / $2 = 250 shares - Total position: $25,000 (50% of account) - Actual risk: $500 (1% of account) **Benefits:** - Can survive 20+ consecutive losses - Removes emotion from sizing - Consistent risk across trades - Protects capital ### The 2R Minimum Rule **Only take trades with 2:1 reward-to-risk or better** **Example:** - Entry: $100 - Stop: $98 (risk = $2) - Target: $104 (reward = $4) - R:R = 2:1 ✅ **Why it matters:** - Can be profitable with 40% win rate - Forces selective trading - Improves overall edge ### Maximum Drawdown Limit **Hard stop trading if down X% from peak** **Recommendations:** - Conservative: 10% drawdown → stop trading - Moderate: 15% drawdown → stop trading - Aggressive: 20% drawdown → stop trading **When hit:** 1. Stop trading immediately 2. Review all trades 3. Identify mistakes 4. Paper trade until recovered mentally 5. Resume with reduced size ## Trading Styles ### Day Trading **Definition:** Open and close all positions same day **Characteristics:** - Multiple trades per day - No overnight risk - Pattern Day Trader rules ($25K minimum) - High screen time requirement - Quick decisions **Best for:** - Full-time traders - High risk tolerance - Quick decision makers - Pattern recognition skills **Key rules:** - Never hold overnight - Reduce size near close - Stop trading after daily loss limit - First 30 min often volatile ### Swing Trading **Definition:** Hold positions 2-10 days **Characteristics:** - 2-5 trades per week - Overnight risk acceptable - Part-time friendly - Technical + fundamental mix **Best for:** - Part-time traders - Day job professionals - Trend followers - Patient traders **Key rules:** - Always use stop-losses - Check positions before/after market - Respect earnings dates - Weekend gap risk consideration ### Position Trading **Definition:** Hold positions weeks to months **Characteristics:** - Long-term trend following - Fundamental focus - Low trade frequency - Larger position sizes **Best for:** - Investors with edge - Low time availability - Fundamental analysts - Macro trend followers **Key rules:** - Wide stops (volatility-based) - Focus on major trends - Ignore daily noise - Strong thesis required ## Entry Strategies ### Technical Entry Methods **1. Breakout Entry** - Price breaks above resistance - Increased volume confirmation - Wait for pullback or buy breakout - Stop below breakout level **2. Pullback Entry** - Wait for trend pullback - Enter at support/moving average - Continuation confirmation - Stop below support **3. Reversal Entry** - Identify overextended move - Look for reversal signals - Multiple confirmations required - Wider stops needed **4. Pattern Completion** - Specific pattern (flag, triangle, etc.) - Pattern completion signal - Volume confirmation - Target based on pattern ### Fundamental Entry Triggers **For Stocks:** - Earnings surprise - Guidance raise - Product launch - Sector rotation - Insider buying - Short squeeze setup **For Macro:** - Fed policy change - Economic data surprise - Geopolitical event - Seasonality ## Exit Strategies ### Stop-Loss Methods **1. Percentage Stop** - Fixed % below entry - Simple and clear - Example: 2% below entry **2. Support/Resistance Stop** - Below key technical level - Makes technical sense - Varies by setup **3. ATR-Based Stop** - 1.5-2x Average True Range - Adapts to volatility - Prevents whipsaw **4. Time Stop** - Exit if no progress in X days - Frees up capital - Prevents dead money ### Take-Profit Methods **1. Fixed R Multiple** - 2R, 3R, 4R targets - Predetermined exit - Consistent methodology **2. Technical Target** - Previous resistance - Fibonacci extension - Measured move - Pattern target **3. Trailing Stop** - Move stop as profit grows - Lock in gains - Ride trends longer **4. Partial Profits** - Take 50% at 2R - Trail remaining 50% - Reduces regret - Balances risk/reward ## Position Sizing Formulas ### Fixed Dollar Risk ``` Position Size = Account Risk $ / (Entry - Stop) Example: - Account: $50,000 - Risk per trade: $500 (1%) - Entry: $100 - Stop: $97 - Risk per share: $3 - Shares: $500 / $3 = 166 shares ``` ### Fixed Percentage Risk ``` Position Size = (Account × Risk %) / (Entry - Stop) Example: - Account: $50,000 - Risk: 1% - Entry: $50 - Stop: $48 - Risk per share: $2 - Shares: ($50,000 × 0.01) / $2 = 250 shares ``` ### Kelly Criterion (Advanced) ``` Position Size % = (Win Rate × Avg Win - Loss Rate × Avg Loss) / Avg Win Example: - Win rate: 55% - Avg win: $500 - Loss rate: 45% - Avg loss: $300 - Kelly: (0.55 × $500 - 0.45 × $300) / $500 = 28% - Use 1/4 Kelly = 7% position size (conservative) ``` **Warning:** Kelly can be aggressive, use fractional Kelly ## Trading Psychology ### Pre-Market Routine - [ ] Review previous day's trades - [ ] Check overnight news - [ ] Identify key levels - [ ] Plan potential setups - [ ] Check emotional state - [ ] Confirm risk limits ### Emotional State Check **Don't trade if:** - Angry or frustrated - Desperate for money - Revenge mindset - Distracted or tired - Overconfident - Fearful **Green light to trade:** - Calm and focused - Following plan - Accepting of losses - Patient for setups - Clear-headed ### Tilt Recognition **Warning signs:** - Increasing position size - Abandoning stops - Taking marginal setups - Revenge trading - Checking P&L constantly - Breaking rules **When tilting:** 1. Stop trading immediately 2. Close all positions 3. Take a break (hour/day/week) 4. Review what triggered it 5. Return when calm ### Daily Loss Limit **Critical rule:** Stop trading at daily loss limit **Example:** - Daily limit: -2% of account - Account: $50,000 - Stop at: -$1,000 loss **Why it matters:** - Prevents blowup days - Forces you to stop tilting - Tomorrow is another day - Protects capital ## Market Conditions & Filters ### When to Trade - [ ] Market trending clearly - [ ] Volatility in normal range - [ ] Volume above average - [ ] Your setups present - [ ] Clear technical levels - [ ] Emotional state good ### When NOT to Trade - [ ] Choppy, rangebound market - [ ] Major news pending (FOMC, etc.) - [ ] Low volume (holidays) - [ ] Extreme volatility - [ ] No clear setups - [ ] Emotional/tilting ### Market Regime Recognition **Bull Market:** - Buy dips - Longer holds - Reduce short exposure - Follow momentum **Bear Market:** - Sell rips - Shorter holds - Reduce long exposure - Focus on defense **Sideways/Choppy:** - Reduce size - Take quick profits - Avoid breakout trades - Trade ranges ## Performance Tracking ### Metrics to Track **Win Rate:** - % of trades profitable - Target: >50% for day trading, >40% for swing **Average Win vs Average Loss:** - Avg $ won on winners - Avg $ lost on losers - Should be 1.5:1 or better **Profit Factor:** - Gross profit / Gross loss - >1.5 is good, >2.0 is excellent **Expectancy:** - (Win Rate × Avg Win) - (Loss Rate × Avg Loss) - Must be positive to be profitable **Maximum Drawdown:** - Largest peak-to-trough decline - Track and improve over time **Sharpe Ratio:** - Return / Volatility - >1.0 is good ### Trade Journal Requirements **For each trade log:** - Date and time - Ticker/instrument - Entry price and size - Stop-loss and target - Exit price and reason - P&L ($ and %) - Setup/pattern - Market condition - Emotional state - Mistakes made - Lessons learned - Screenshot ### Review Schedule **Daily:** - Review all trades - Calculate P&L - Note mistakes - Plan next day **Weekly:** - Calculate weekly metrics - Identify patterns - Best/worst trades - Rule compliance % **Monthly:** - Full performance review - Strategy adjustments - Goal progress - Mindset check ## Common Mistakes to Avoid ### ❌ Fatal Errors **1. No Stop-Loss** - One bad trade can wipe account - ALWAYS use stops - No exceptions **2. Overleveraging** - Position size too large - Can't handle normal volatility - Forced exits at worst time **3. Revenge Trading** - Trading to "get back" losses - Emotional decisions - Breaks all rules **4. Moving Stops** - Moving stop to avoid loss - Invalidates risk management - Path to blowup **5. Averaging Down Losers** - Adding to losing position - Doubles down on mistake - Increases risk dramatically **6. No Plan** - Winging it - Inconsistent decisions - Can't improve ### ✅ Best Practices **1. Risk < Reward** - Always 2:1 R:R minimum - Selective trading - Math works in your favor **2. Consistent Sizing** - Same risk each trade - Removes emotion - Sustainable growth **3. Follow Your Plan** - Even when uncomfortable - Trust the process - Track compliance **4. Take Breaks** - After losses - When tilting - Regularly **5. Keep Learning** - Review trades - Study markets - Adapt and improve ## Using This Skill ### Generate a Trading Plan ```bash ./scripts/generate_plan.sh ``` Interactive workflow guides you through: 1. Trading style and goals 2. Risk management rules 3. Market and setup selection 4. Entry and exit criteria 5. Psychology and discipline 6. Performance tracking ### Validate Your Plan ```bash ./scripts/validate_plan.sh path/to/plan.md ``` Checks for: - Risk management defined - Position sizing rules - Entry/exit criteria - Stop-loss requirements - Performance tracking - Completeness ### Calculate Position Size ```bash ./scripts/position_calculator.sh ``` Quick calculator for: - Shares based on risk - Risk amount - R:R ratio - Compliance check ### Access References ``` references/risk_management.md - Complete risk frameworks references/trading_psychology.md - Mental game and discipline references/technical_setups.md - Chart patterns and entries references/performance_metrics.md - Tracking and improvement ``` ## Trading Plan Checklist - [ ] **Clear trading goals** defined - [ ] **Risk per trade** specified (1-2% recommended) - [ ] **Daily loss limit** set and hard stop - [ ] **Position sizing** formula defined - [ ] **Markets traded** clearly identified - [ ] **Entry criteria** specific and measurable - [ ] **Stop-loss rules** mandatory for every trade - [ ] **Take-profit strategy** defined - [ ] **Trade management** rules for scaling - [ ] **Emotional checks** before trading - [ ] **Trade journal** template ready - [ ] **Performance metrics** to track - [ ] **Review schedule** committed to ## Quick Start ### Beginner Trader Template - Risk: 0.5% per trade - Style: Swing trading - Daily loss: -1.5% - Minimum R:R: 3:1 - Simple technical setups - Conservative sizing ### Experienced Trader Template - Risk: 1-2% per trade - Style: Your preference - Daily loss: -3% - Minimum R:R: 2:1 - Advanced setups - Discretionary management ## Important Disclaimers **This skill provides frameworks, not financial advice.** - Trading involves substantial risk - Past performance ≠ future results - Only trade with risk capital - Educate yourself thoroughly - Consider working with professionals - Comply with all regulations - You are responsible for your decisions **Risk Warning:** - You can lose all your capital - Leverage amplifies losses - Emotional control is critical - No guaranteed profits - Most traders lose money ## Best Practices ### 1. Start Small - Paper trade first - Then micro positions - Prove profitability - Then scale up ### 2. Focus on Process - Not on money - Follow rules - Track metrics - Improve systematically ### 3. Protect Capital - Risk management first - Survive to trade tomorrow - Slow and steady wins ### 4. Stay Disciplined - Plan your trades - Trade your plan - No exceptions - Review constantly ### 5. Keep Learning - Markets evolve - Adapt strategies - Learn from mistakes - Study the best ## Summary A trading plan is your blueprint for success. It: - **Protects** your capital with risk management - **Guides** decisions with clear rules - **Controls** emotions through discipline - **Tracks** performance for improvement - **Builds** consistency over time **Remember:** The goal isn't to get rich quick. It's to trade consistently, manage risk properly, and compound gains over time. --- **"Plan your trade, trade your plan, and manage your risk. Everything else is noise."**