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commands/build-forecast-scenarios.md

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+---
+name: build-forecast-scenarios
+description: Generates base/upside/downside revenue forecasts with signal-based adjustments.
+usage: /revenue-analytics:build-forecast-scenarios --horizon q4 --granularity weekly --confidence 80 --include-renewals true
+---
+
+# Command: build-forecast-scenarios
+
+## Inputs
+- **horizon** – timeframe (month, quarter, fiscal_year).
+- **granularity** – cadence for projections (weekly, monthly, cohort).
+- **confidence** – confidence band (70/80/90) for intervals.
+- **include-renewals** – true/false to layer in CS signals.
+- **drivers** – optional JSON/CSV with macro/product/usage adjustments.
+
+## Workflow
+1. **Signal Intake** – collect bookings actuals, pipeline, product usage, renewal, and macro drivers.
+2. **Model Calibration** – update conversion rates, seasonality factors, and growth coefficients.
+3. **Scenario Generation** – produce base/upside/downside plus stress tests tied to driver toggles.
+4. **Variance Commentary** – explain changes vs prior forecast and targets.
+5. **Action Mapping** – recommend GTM + finance moves aligned to each scenario.
+
+## Outputs
+- Forecast workbook (base/upside/downside) with drivers and confidence bands.
+- Variance memo explaining deltas vs prior outlook.
+- Action register tied to scenarios (investment, enablement, hiring, demand gen).
+
+## Agent/Skill Invocations
+- `revenue-forecasting-analyst` – owns modeling + scenario analysis.
+- `revenue-intelligence-director` – crafts executive narrative.
+- `cohort-analysis` skill – benchmarks cohorts to validate assumptions.
+- `exec-briefing-kit` skill – packages summary for leadership/board.
+
+---