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---
name: loyalty-modeling
description: Use to model economics, tiers, and impact forecasts for loyalty programs.
---
# Loyalty Modeling Toolkit Skill
## When to Use
- Designing new loyalty tiers or revamping benefits.
- Building business cases for loyalty investments.
- Stress-testing point liability, breakage, and ROI.
## Framework
1. **Inputs** member base, transaction frequency, average order value, churn, CAC.
2. **Earning Model** simulate points accrual, mission completion, and bonus events.
3. **Redemption Model** estimate burn rates, cost per reward, and liability curves.
4. **Impact Drivers** model uplift in retention, cross-sell, referral, or ARPU.
5. **Scenario Planning** compare base vs optimized vs aggressive variants.
## Templates
- Driver sheet (input assumptions, tier thresholds, rewards cost).
- Sensitivity table (goal → driver → delta → impact).
- Executive summary page for approvals.
## Tips
- Keep calculators modular so benefits can be toggled quickly.
- Align with finance on liability recognition + accounting treatment.
- Pair with `plan-loyalty` command to ensure blueprint is financially sound.
---