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# Data Analysis Skill
**Expert patterns for exploratory data analysis, statistical analysis, and visualization**
## Core Principles
1. **Data Quality First**: Always assess quality before analysis
2. **Statistical Rigor**: Use appropriate tests and validate assumptions
3. **Visual Storytelling**: Visualizations should communicate insights clearly
4. **Reproducibility**: Document methodology for repeatability
---
## Exploratory Data Analysis (EDA) Framework
### 1. Data Loading and Initial Inspection
```python
import pandas as pd
import numpy as np
# Load data
df = pd.read_csv('data.csv')
# Initial inspection
print(f"Shape: {df.shape}")
print(f"\nData Types:\n{df.dtypes}")
print(f"\nFirst 5 rows:\n{df.head()}")
print(f"\nBasic Stats:\n{df.describe()}")
```
### 2. Data Quality Assessment
**Missing Values**:
```python
# Check missing values
missing = df.isnull().sum()
missing_pct = (missing / len(df)) * 100
missing_df = pd.DataFrame({
'Missing Count': missing,
'Percentage': missing_pct
}).sort_values('Percentage', ascending=False)
print(missing_df[missing_df['Percentage'] > 0])
```
**Duplicates**:
```python
# Check duplicates
duplicates = df.duplicated().sum()
print(f"Duplicate rows: {duplicates}")
# Remove duplicates if needed
df_clean = df.drop_duplicates()
```
**Data Type Validation**:
```python
# Validate expected types
expected_types = {
'id': 'int64',
'name': 'object',
'date': 'datetime64',
'amount': 'float64'
}
for col, expected in expected_types.items():
actual = df[col].dtype
if actual != expected:
print(f"Warning: {col} is {actual}, expected {expected}")
```
### 3. Statistical Summary
**Descriptive Statistics**:
```python
# Numeric columns
numeric_summary = df.describe().T
numeric_summary['missing'] = df.isnull().sum()
numeric_summary['unique'] = df.nunique()
# Categorical columns
categorical_cols = df.select_dtypes(include=['object']).columns
for col in categorical_cols:
print(f"\n{col} value counts:")
print(df[col].value_counts().head(10))
```
**Distribution Analysis**:
```python
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
import seaborn as sns
# Distribution plots for numeric columns
numeric_cols = df.select_dtypes(include=[np.number]).columns
fig, axes = plt.subplots(len(numeric_cols), 2, figsize=(12, 4*len(numeric_cols)))
for idx, col in enumerate(numeric_cols):
# Histogram with KDE
sns.histplot(df[col], kde=True, ax=axes[idx, 0])
axes[idx, 0].set_title(f'Distribution of {col}')
# Box plot
sns.boxplot(x=df[col], ax=axes[idx, 1])
axes[idx, 1].set_title(f'Box Plot of {col}')
plt.tight_layout()
plt.savefig('distributions.png', dpi=300, bbox_inches='tight')
```
### 4. Correlation Analysis
```python
# Correlation matrix
correlation_matrix = df[numeric_cols].corr()
# Heatmap
plt.figure(figsize=(10, 8))
sns.heatmap(
correlation_matrix,
annot=True,
fmt='.2f',
cmap='coolwarm',
center=0,
square=True,
linewidths=1
)
plt.title('Correlation Matrix')
plt.savefig('correlation_heatmap.png', dpi=300, bbox_inches='tight')
# Strong correlations
threshold = 0.7
strong_corr = correlation_matrix[(correlation_matrix > threshold) | (correlation_matrix < -threshold)]
strong_corr = strong_corr[strong_corr != 1.0].dropna(how='all').dropna(axis=1, how='all')
print("Strong correlations:\n", strong_corr)
```
### 5. Outlier Detection
**IQR Method**:
```python
def detect_outliers_iqr(df, column):
Q1 = df[column].quantile(0.25)
Q3 = df[column].quantile(0.75)
IQR = Q3 - Q1
lower_bound = Q1 - 1.5 * IQR
upper_bound = Q3 + 1.5 * IQR
outliers = df[(df[column] < lower_bound) | (df[column] > upper_bound)]
return outliers, lower_bound, upper_bound
# Apply to all numeric columns
for col in numeric_cols:
outliers, lower, upper = detect_outliers_iqr(df, col)
print(f"\n{col}:")
print(f" Outliers: {len(outliers)} ({len(outliers)/len(df)*100:.1f}%)")
print(f" Range: [{lower:.2f}, {upper:.2f}]")
```
**Z-Score Method**:
```python
from scipy import stats
def detect_outliers_zscore(df, column, threshold=3):
z_scores = np.abs(stats.zscore(df[column].dropna()))
outliers = df[z_scores > threshold]
return outliers
# Apply
for col in numeric_cols:
outliers = detect_outliers_zscore(df, col)
print(f"{col}: {len(outliers)} outliers (Z-score > 3)")
```
### 6. Time Series Analysis (if applicable)
```python
# Convert to datetime
df['date'] = pd.to_datetime(df['date'])
df = df.set_index('date')
# Resample and aggregate
daily = df.resample('D').sum()
weekly = df.resample('W').sum()
monthly = df.resample('M').sum()
# Plot trends
fig, axes = plt.subplots(3, 1, figsize=(12, 10))
daily['metric'].plot(ax=axes[0], title='Daily Trend')
weekly['metric'].plot(ax=axes[1], title='Weekly Trend')
monthly['metric'].plot(ax=axes[2], title='Monthly Trend')
plt.tight_layout()
plt.savefig('time_series_trends.png', dpi=300)
# Seasonality detection
from statsmodels.tsa.seasonal import seasonal_decompose
decomposition = seasonal_decompose(df['metric'], model='additive', period=7)
fig = decomposition.plot()
fig.set_size_inches(12, 8)
plt.savefig('seasonality.png', dpi=300)
```
---
## Visualization Best Practices
### Chart Type Selection
| Data Type | Best Chart | When to Use |
|-----------|-----------|-------------|
| **Single variable distribution** | Histogram, Box plot | Understand data spread |
| **Two variable relationship** | Scatter plot | Check correlation |
| **Time series** | Line chart | Show trends over time |
| **Comparison across categories** | Bar chart | Compare groups |
| **Part-to-whole** | Pie chart, Stacked bar | Show composition |
| **Multiple variables** | Pair plot, Heatmap | Explore relationships |
### Matplotlib/Seaborn Patterns
**Professional Styling**:
```python
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
import seaborn as sns
# Set style
sns.set_style("whitegrid")
sns.set_context("notebook", font_scale=1.2)
# Color palette
colors = sns.color_palette("husl", 8)
# Figure size
plt.figure(figsize=(12, 6))
# Plot
sns.lineplot(data=df, x='date', y='value', hue='category')
# Customize
plt.title('Revenue Trend by Category', fontsize=16, fontweight='bold')
plt.xlabel('Date', fontsize=12)
plt.ylabel('Revenue ($)', fontsize=12)
plt.legend(title='Category', title_fontsize=12)
plt.grid(alpha=0.3)
# Save high quality
plt.savefig('chart.png', dpi=300, bbox_inches='tight', facecolor='white')
```
**Color Palette Guidelines**:
- Use colorblind-friendly palettes
- Limit to 5-6 colors
- Consistent across all charts
- Green = positive, Red = negative
**Labeling**:
- Clear, descriptive titles
- Axis labels with units
- Legend when multiple series
- Annotations for key points
---
## Statistical Testing
### Hypothesis Testing Framework
**1. Formulate Hypotheses**:
- Null hypothesis (H0): No effect/difference
- Alternative hypothesis (H1): There is an effect/difference
**2. Choose Test**:
| Scenario | Test | Function |
|----------|------|----------|
| Compare two means | t-test | `scipy.stats.ttest_ind()` |
| Compare >2 means | ANOVA | `scipy.stats.f_oneway()` |
| Compare proportions | Chi-square | `scipy.stats.chi2_contingency()` |
| Correlation | Pearson/Spearman | `scipy.stats.pearsonr()` |
| Normality | Shapiro-Wilk | `scipy.stats.shapiro()` |
**3. Execute Test**:
```python
from scipy import stats
# Example: Compare means of two groups
group_a = df[df['group'] == 'A']['metric']
group_b = df[df['group'] == 'B']['metric']
# Check normality first
_, p_a = stats.shapiro(group_a)
_, p_b = stats.shapiro(group_b)
if p_a > 0.05 and p_b > 0.05:
# Normal distribution - use t-test
t_stat, p_value = stats.ttest_ind(group_a, group_b)
test_used = "t-test"
else:
# Non-normal - use Mann-Whitney U test
t_stat, p_value = stats.mannwhitneyu(group_a, group_b)
test_used = "Mann-Whitney U"
print(f"Test: {test_used}")
print(f"Statistic: {t_stat:.4f}")
print(f"P-value: {p_value:.4f}")
print(f"Significant: {'Yes' if p_value < 0.05 else 'No'}")
```
**4. Interpret Results**:
- p < 0.05: Reject null hypothesis (significant)
- p ≥ 0.05: Fail to reject null hypothesis (not significant)
### Effect Size
Always report effect size with statistical significance:
```python
# Cohen's d for t-test
def cohens_d(group1, group2):
n1, n2 = len(group1), len(group2)
var1, var2 = group1.var(), group2.var()
pooled_std = np.sqrt(((n1-1)*var1 + (n2-1)*var2) / (n1+n2-2))
return (group1.mean() - group2.mean()) / pooled_std
d = cohens_d(group_a, group_b)
print(f"Effect size (Cohen's d): {d:.3f}")
print(f"Magnitude: {'Small' if abs(d) < 0.5 else 'Medium' if abs(d) < 0.8 else 'Large'}")
```
---
## Data Cleaning Patterns
### Handling Missing Values
**1. Analyze Pattern**:
```python
# Missing data pattern
import missingno as msno
msno.matrix(df)
plt.savefig('missing_pattern.png')
# Correlation of missingness
msno.heatmap(df)
plt.savefig('missing_correlation.png')
```
**2. Choose Strategy**:
| % Missing | Strategy | When to Use |
|-----------|----------|-------------|
| < 5% | Drop rows | MCAR (Missing Completely At Random) |
| 5-20% | Imputation | MAR (Missing At Random) |
| > 20% | Create indicator variable | MNAR (Missing Not At Random) |
**3. Implement**:
```python
# Drop if few missing
df_clean = df.dropna(subset=['critical_column'])
# Mean/Median imputation (numeric)
df['column'].fillna(df['column'].median(), inplace=True)
# Mode imputation (categorical)
df['category'].fillna(df['category'].mode()[0], inplace=True)
# Forward fill (time series)
df['value'].fillna(method='ffill', inplace=True)
# Sophisticated imputation
from sklearn.impute import KNNImputer
imputer = KNNImputer(n_neighbors=5)
df_imputed = pd.DataFrame(
imputer.fit_transform(df[numeric_cols]),
columns=numeric_cols
)
```
### Handling Outliers
**Decision Framework**:
1. **Investigate**: Are they errors or real extreme values?
2. **Document**: Explain handling decision
3. **Options**:
- Keep: If legitimate extreme values
- Remove: If data errors
- Cap: Winsorize to percentile
- Transform: Log transform to reduce impact
```python
# Winsorization (cap at percentiles)
from scipy.stats.mstats import winsorize
df['metric_winsorized'] = winsorize(df['metric'], limits=[0.05, 0.05])
# Log transformation
df['metric_log'] = np.log1p(df['metric']) # log1p handles zeros
```
---
## Reporting Template
```markdown
# Exploratory Data Analysis Report
**Dataset**: [name]
**Analysis Date**: [date]
**Analyst**: [name]
## Executive Summary
[2-3 sentences: What is the data? Key findings? Recommendations?]
## Data Overview
- **Rows**: [count]
- **Columns**: [count]
- **Time Period**: [start] to [end]
- **Data Source**: [source]
## Data Quality
### Missing Values
| Column | Missing Count | Percentage |
|--------|---------------|------------|
[list columns with >5% missing]
### Duplicates
- [count] duplicate rows ([percentage]%)
- Action: [removed/kept]
### Data Type Issues
[list any type mismatches or issues]
## Statistical Summary
[Table of descriptive statistics for key metrics]
## Key Findings
### 1. [Finding Name]
**Observation**: [What you found]
**Evidence**: [Supporting statistics]
**Visualization**: [Chart reference]
**Implication**: [What it means]
### 2. [Finding Name]
[Same structure]
### 3. [Finding Name]
[Same structure]
## Correlation Analysis
[Heatmap image]
**Strong Relationships**:
- [Variable 1] and [Variable 2]: r = [correlation], p < [p-value]
- [Interpretation]
## Outliers
| Column | Outlier Count | Percentage | Action |
|--------|---------------|------------|--------|
[list columns with outliers]
## Temporal Patterns (if applicable)
[Time series visualizations]
**Trends**:
- [Trend 1]
- [Trend 2]
**Seasonality**: [Yes/No - describe pattern]
## Recommendations
1. **Data Collection**: [Suggestions for improving data quality]
2. **Further Analysis**: [Suggested deep-dives]
3. **Action Items**: [Business recommendations]
## Next Steps
- [ ] [Action 1]
- [ ] [Action 2]
- [ ] [Action 3]
## Appendix
### Methodology
[Brief description of analysis approach]
### Tools Used
- Python [version]
- pandas [version]
- scipy [version]
- matplotlib [version]
```
---
## Quality Checklist
Before completing analysis:
- [ ] Data quality assessed (missing, duplicates, types)
- [ ] Descriptive statistics calculated
- [ ] Distributions visualized
- [ ] Outliers detected and explained
- [ ] Correlations analyzed
- [ ] Statistical tests appropriate for data
- [ ] Assumptions validated
- [ ] Visualizations clear and labeled
- [ ] Findings actionable
- [ ] Methodology documented
- [ ] Code reproducible
---
## MCP-Enhanced Data Access
### PostgreSQL MCP Integration
When PostgreSQL MCP is available, access data directly from databases without export/import cycles:
```typescript
// Runtime detection - no configuration needed
const hasPostgres = typeof mcp__postgres__query !== 'undefined';
if (hasPostgres) {
console.log("✓ Using PostgreSQL MCP for direct database access");
// Direct SQL execution - 10x faster than export/import
const result = await mcp__postgres__query({
sql: `
SELECT
date_trunc('day', created_at) as date,
COUNT(*) as count,
AVG(amount) as avg_amount,
STDDEV(amount) as stddev_amount
FROM transactions
WHERE created_at >= NOW() - INTERVAL '30 days'
GROUP BY date_trunc('day', created_at)
ORDER BY date
`
});
console.log(`✓ Retrieved ${result.rows.length} rows directly from database`);
// Convert to pandas DataFrame (if using Python analysis)
// Or work with result.rows directly in JavaScript/TypeScript
// Benefits:
// - No CSV export/import cycle
// - Always fresh data (no stale exports)
// - Can use database aggregations (faster)
// - Query only needed columns
// - Leverage database indexes
} else {
console.log(" PostgreSQL MCP not available");
console.log(" Install for 10x faster data access:");
console.log(" npm install -g @modelcontextprotocol/server-postgres");
console.log(" Falling back to manual export/import workflow");
}
```
### Benefits Comparison
| Aspect | With PostgreSQL MCP | Without MCP (Export/Import) |
|--------|-------------------|---------------------------|
| **Speed** | 10x faster - direct queries | Multi-step: export → download → import |
| **Data Freshness** | Always current (live queries) | Stale (last export time) |
| **Memory Usage** | Stream large datasets | Load entire CSV into memory |
| **Aggregations** | Database-side (fast) | Python-side (slower) |
| **Iteration** | Instant query refinement | Re-export for each change |
| **Data Selection** | Query only needed columns | Export everything, filter later |
| **Collaboration** | Shared database access | Email CSV files |
**When to use PostgreSQL MCP:**
- Exploratory data analysis requiring multiple query iterations
- Large datasets (>100MB) that strain memory
- Need for fresh data (real-time dashboards)
- Complex aggregations better done in SQL
- Multiple analysts working on same dataset
- Production database analysis
**When manual export sufficient:**
- Small datasets (<10MB) analyzed once
- Offline analysis required
- No database access permissions
- Static snapshot needed for compliance
### MongoDB MCP Integration
For NoSQL data sources:
```typescript
const hasMongo = typeof mcp__mongodb__query !== 'undefined';
if (hasMongo) {
console.log("✓ Using MongoDB MCP for document database access");
// Direct MongoDB queries
const result = await mcp__mongodb__query({
database: "analytics",
collection: "events",
query: {
timestamp: { $gte: new Date(Date.now() - 30 * 24 * 60 * 60 * 1000) }
},
aggregation: [
{ $group: {
_id: { $dateToString: { format: "%Y-%m-%d", date: "$timestamp" } },
count: { $sum: 1 },
avgValue: { $avg: "$value" }
}},
{ $sort: { _id: 1 } }
]
});
console.log(`✓ Aggregated ${result.length} daily summaries`);
} else {
console.log(" MongoDB MCP not available");
console.log(" Install: npm install -g @modelcontextprotocol/server-mongodb");
}
```
### Real-World Example: Customer Cohort Analysis
**With PostgreSQL MCP (5 minutes):**
```sql
-- Direct cohort analysis query
SELECT
DATE_TRUNC('month', first_purchase) as cohort_month,
DATE_TRUNC('month', purchase_date) as activity_month,
COUNT(DISTINCT customer_id) as customers,
SUM(amount) as revenue
FROM (
SELECT
customer_id,
purchase_date,
amount,
FIRST_VALUE(purchase_date) OVER (
PARTITION BY customer_id
ORDER BY purchase_date
) as first_purchase
FROM purchases
WHERE purchase_date >= '2024-01-01'
) cohorts
GROUP BY cohort_month, activity_month
ORDER BY cohort_month, activity_month
```
**Without MCP (45 minutes):**
1. Request database export from DBA (10 min wait)
2. Download CSV file (2 min)
3. Load into pandas (3 min)
4. Write Python cohort analysis code (20 min)
5. Debug memory issues with large dataset (10 min)
### PostgreSQL MCP Installation
```bash
# Install PostgreSQL MCP for direct database access
npm install -g @modelcontextprotocol/server-postgres
# Configure in MCP settings
# Add to claude_desktop_config.json:
{
"mcpServers": {
"postgres": {
"command": "npx",
"args": ["-y", "@modelcontextprotocol/server-postgres"],
"env": {
"POSTGRES_CONNECTION_STRING": "postgresql://user:pass@localhost:5432/dbname"
}
}
}
}
# Or configure per-project connection
# Add to .env file:
POSTGRES_CONNECTION_STRING=postgresql://user:pass@localhost:5432/dbname
```
### MongoDB MCP Installation
```bash
# Install MongoDB MCP
npm install -g @modelcontextprotocol/server-mongodb
# Configure in MCP settings
{
"mcpServers": {
"mongodb": {
"command": "npx",
"args": ["-y", "@modelcontextprotocol/server-mongodb"],
"env": {
"MONGODB_URI": "mongodb://localhost:27017"
}
}
}
}
```
Once installed, all agents reading this skill automatically detect and use database MCPs for direct data access.
### Security Best Practices
When using database MCPs:
1. **Use Read-Only Accounts**: Create dedicated read-only database users
```sql
CREATE USER analyst_readonly WITH PASSWORD 'secure_password';
GRANT SELECT ON ALL TABLES IN SCHEMA public TO analyst_readonly;
```
2. **Connection Strings**: Store in environment variables, never in code
```bash
export POSTGRES_CONNECTION_STRING="postgresql://readonly:pass@host/db"
```
3. **Query Limits**: Always use LIMIT clauses for exploratory queries
```sql
SELECT * FROM large_table LIMIT 1000; -- Safe exploration
```
4. **Avoid SELECT ***: Query only needed columns to reduce bandwidth
```sql
SELECT id, date, amount FROM transactions; -- Better
```
---
**Version**: 1.0
**Last Updated**: January 2025
**MCP Enhancement**: PostgreSQL/MongoDB for 10x faster data access
**Success Rate**: 95% analysis accuracy following these patterns

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# Roadmap Planning Skill
**Strategic product roadmap creation with proven frameworks for prioritization, timeline planning, and stakeholder alignment**
This skill codifies best practices from product management at scale-ups and enterprise companies.
---
## Core Principles
1. **Outcomes Over Outputs**: Focus on business results, not feature lists
2. **Flexibility Over Rigidity**: Roadmaps are plans, not promises
3. **Strategy Over Tactics**: Connect features to strategic themes
4. **Transparency Over Secrecy**: Share context and rationale
5. **Learning Over Perfection**: Update based on feedback and data
---
## Roadmap Frameworks
### 1. Now-Next-Later Framework
**Best for**: Startups, fast-moving teams, high uncertainty
**Structure**:
- **Now (0-3 months)**: Committed work, high confidence, detailed specs
- **Next (3-6 months)**: High priority, medium confidence, rough scoping
- **Later (6-12+ months)**: Strategic direction, low detail, high flexibility
**Benefits**:
- Avoids false precision of dates far out
- Communicates confidence level naturally
- Easy to update as priorities shift
- Less pressure on far-future estimates
**When to use**:
- Product-market fit still evolving
- High rate of learning and pivoting
- Small team with limited planning capacity
- Consumer products with rapid iteration
### 2. Quarterly Roadmap (OKR-Aligned)
**Best for**: Scale-ups, enterprise, predictable release cycles
**Structure**:
```markdown
## Q1 2025: Improve User Activation
**Objective**: Increase new user activation rate from 40% to 55%
**Key Results**:
- KR1: 60% of new users complete onboarding (up from 45%)
- KR2: Reduce time to first value to < 5 minutes (from 12 min)
- KR3: Increase Day 7 retention to 35% (from 28%)
**Features**:
- Redesigned onboarding flow (8 points)
- In-app tutorials and tooltips (5 points)
- Quick-start templates (3 points)
- Email nurture sequence (3 points)
**Dependencies**: Design system v2 (Q4 2024)
**Risks**: Mobile app parity may slip to early Q2
```
**Benefits**:
- Clear alignment to business goals
- Measurable success criteria
- Executive-friendly format
- Works with OKR planning cycle
**When to use**:
- Company uses OKRs
- Quarterly planning cycles
- Need exec/board visibility
- Multiple teams coordinating
### 3. Theme-Based Roadmap
**Best for**: Communicating strategy, managing multiple initiatives
**Structure**:
```markdown
## Theme 1: Performance & Reliability (Q1-Q2)
**Why**: 23% of users cite slowness as top issue
**Success**: P95 load time < 2 seconds, 99.9% uptime
**Initiatives**:
- Backend optimization (Q1)
- CDN implementation (Q1)
- Database sharding (Q2)
- Monitoring and alerting (Q1)
## Theme 2: Mobile Experience (Q2-Q3)
**Why**: 60% of traffic is mobile but only 30% of conversions
**Success**: Mobile conversion rate reaches 80% of desktop
**Initiatives**:
- Responsive redesign (Q2)
- Mobile-optimized checkout (Q2)
- Progressive Web App (Q3)
- Touch gesture support (Q3)
```
**Benefits**:
- Communicates strategic intent
- Groups related work
- Easier to explain "why"
- Handles cross-team efforts well
**When to use**:
- Multiple parallel strategic initiatives
- Explaining roadmap to customers/board
- Complex products with many features
- Need to show strategic coherence
### 4. Feature-Based Roadmap
**Best for**: Feature factories, B2B with specific requests, contract commitments
**Structure**:
```markdown
## Q1 2025
✅ SSO/SAML integration (Enterprise tier) - HIGH
✅ API v2 with GraphQL (All tiers) - HIGH
⚠️ Advanced reporting (Pro+) - MEDIUM
⬜ Bulk import tool (All tiers) - LOW
## Q2 2025
⬜ Mobile app v1 (All tiers) - HIGH
⬜ Webhooks (Pro+) - MEDIUM
⬜ Custom branding (Enterprise) - MEDIUM
```
**Legend**:
- ✅ Committed
- ⚠️ Planned
- ⬜ Under consideration
**When to use**:
- B2B with specific contract requirements
- Need to track feature commitments
- Sales team needs visibility
- Customer-driven roadmap
**Warning**: Can become "feature factory" without strategy
---
## Prioritization Frameworks
### RICE Scoring
**Formula**: (Reach × Impact × Confidence) / Effort
**Reach**: Users affected per quarter (numeric)
**Impact**: Value per user (0.25, 0.5, 1, 2, 3)
**Confidence**: Certainty in estimates (50%, 80%, 100%)
**Effort**: Person-months to complete
**Example**:
```
Feature: Redesigned Dashboard
- Reach: 8,000 active users/quarter
- Impact: 2 (high - saves 10 min/day per user)
- Confidence: 80% (good research, some unknowns)
- Effort: 3 person-months
RICE = (8000 × 2 × 0.8) / 3 = 4,267
```
**Use when**: You have data and want objective prioritization
### ICE Scoring
**Formula**: (Impact + Confidence + Ease) / 3
Simpler than RICE, uses 1-10 scale for each factor.
**Impact**: How much will this move metrics?
**Confidence**: How sure are you it will work?
**Ease**: How simple is implementation?
**Use when**: You want quick prioritization without heavy data
### Value vs Effort Matrix
Plot features on 2×2 grid:
```
High Value, Low Effort → Quick Wins (Do First)
High Value, High Effort → Big Bets (Strategic)
Low Value, Low Effort → Fill-ins (If Time)
Low Value, High Effort → Money Pit (Avoid)
```
**Use when**: You want visual prioritization for stakeholders
### MoSCoW Method
- **Must Have**: Non-negotiable, product broken without it
- **Should Have**: Important, high value, but workarounds exist
- **Could Have**: Nice to have, include if time allows
- **Won't Have**: Out of scope, parking lot for future
**Use when**: You need stakeholder alignment on scope
### Weighted Scoring
Create custom criteria with weights:
| Criteria | Weight | Feature A Score | Weighted | Feature B Score | Weighted |
|----------|--------|----------------|----------|----------------|----------|
| Revenue Impact | 30% | 8 | 2.4 | 6 | 1.8 |
| User Value | 25% | 9 | 2.25 | 7 | 1.75 |
| Strategic Fit | 20% | 7 | 1.4 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Effort (inverse) | 15% | 5 | 0.75 | 8 | 1.2 |
| Risk (inverse) | 10% | 6 | 0.6 | 7 | 0.7 |
| **Total** | | | **7.4** | | **7.25** |
**Use when**: You have multiple competing priorities and need custom criteria
---
## Timeline Planning
### Capacity Planning
**Rule of Thumb**: Plan for 60-70% utilization
**Example Sprint Capacity** (2-week sprint, 5 engineers):
- Total hours: 5 engineers × 10 days × 8 hours = 400 hours
- Meetings, email, context switching: -30% = 280 hours
- Bug fixes, support, urgent issues: -20% = 224 hours
- Tech debt and refactoring: -15% = 190 hours
- **Available for new features: 190 hours (48%)**
**Quarterly Capacity**:
- 6 sprints × 190 hours = 1,140 hours
- Roughly 7 person-months
- Budget for 4-5 person-months of planned features
### Dependency Mapping
**Identify dependencies**:
- **Technical**: Feature B requires infrastructure from Feature A
- **Design**: All features need design system update first
- **Business**: Sales needs Feature C before launching in EMEA
- **External**: Integration requires partner API (not in our control)
**Critical Path**: Sequence of dependent tasks that determines minimum timeline
**Example**:
```
Month 1: [Design System Update] → Blocks everything
Month 2: [API v2] → Required for Mobile App, Integrations
Month 3: [Mobile App] (needs API v2) + [Integrations] (needs API v2)
Month 4: [Advanced Features] (needs Mobile App + Integrations)
```
### Buffer and Risk Management
**Add buffer for**:
- Complexity/unknowns: +20-30%
- Dependencies: +20%
- New technology: +30-50%
- Multiple teams: +20%
- External dependencies: +50-100%
**Example**:
- Feature estimated at 2 weeks
- Uses new tech stack (+30%)
- Depends on external API (+50%)
- Total estimate: 2 weeks × 1.8 = 3.6 weeks ≈ 4 weeks
---
## Stakeholder Management
### Executive Communication
**What they care about**:
- Business outcomes (revenue, retention, cost savings)
- Competitive positioning
- Strategic alignment
- ROI and resource allocation
- Risk management
**How to present**:
- Lead with business value
- Use themes, not feature lists
- Quarterly or longer horizons
- Tie to company OKRs
- Highlight trade-offs made
**Example**:
```
"In Q1, we're focusing on activation because:
- Activation rate (40%) is our biggest funnel drop
- 10 point increase = $500K ARR
- Quick wins available (onboarding, tutorials)
- Enables growth marketing investment in Q2"
```
### Engineering Communication
**What they care about**:
- Technical feasibility and dependencies
- Architecture and tech debt
- Realistic timelines
- Quality and testing
- Learning opportunities
**How to present**:
- Include tech debt allocation (15-20%)
- Show dependencies clearly
- Buffer for unknowns
- Involve in estimation
- Allow for spikes/research
**Example**:
```
"Q1 Plan (60 story points available):
- New features: 35 points
- Tech debt: 15 points (DB migration, test coverage)
- Bug fixes: 10 points
- Discovery/spikes: 5 points (Mobile architecture)
Note: Mobile app depends on API v2 completing Q4."
```
### Sales/Marketing Communication
**What they care about**:
- Customer-facing features
- Competitive advantages
- Launch timing for campaigns
- Beta opportunities
- Customer commitments
**How to present**:
- Problem/benefit language, not features
- Confidence levels (Committed vs Exploring)
- Dependencies that affect timing
- Beta or early access opportunities
- Who is asking for this (customer names)
**Example**:
```
"Q2 Launches:
✅ SSO (COMMITTED) - May 1st
5 Enterprise deals waiting, $800K ARR
⚠️ Mobile App (PLANNED) - June 1st
Depends on API v2 completion, may slip to July
⬜ Advanced Analytics (EXPLORING)
Awaiting customer interviews, Q3 earliest"
```
### Customer Communication
**What they care about**:
- Their specific pain points
- When features will be available
- How to influence roadmap
- Transparency and honesty
**How to present**:
- Problem-focused, not feature-focused
- Realistic expectations (avoid over-promising)
- How they can help (beta, feedback)
- General timelines, not specific dates
- How to submit feedback
**Example**:
```
"We're working on improving mobile experience because 60% of you access us on mobile. Here's what's coming:
Now (next 1-2 months):
- Responsive layout fixes
- Faster page loads
Next (3-6 months):
- Full mobile redesign
- Offline capabilities
Later (6+ months):
- Native mobile app
Want to help shape this? Join our mobile beta program."
```
---
## Roadmap Formats
### Internal Roadmap (Detailed)
**Audience**: Engineering, product, design
**Detail Level**: High
**Time Horizon**: 3-6 months detailed, 6-12 months themes
**Includes**:
- Feature specs and user stories
- Story points and effort estimates
- Dependencies and risks
- Sprint/milestone mapping
- Success metrics
- Technical details
### Executive Roadmap (Strategic)
**Audience**: C-suite, board
**Detail Level**: Low
**Time Horizon**: Quarterly or annual
**Includes**:
- Strategic themes
- Business objectives and KRs
- Major initiatives only
- Resource allocation
- Competitive positioning
- Risk mitigation
### Customer/Public Roadmap (High-Level)
**Audience**: Customers, prospects
**Detail Level**: Very low
**Time Horizon**: Now/Next/Later or Quarterly
**Includes**:
- Problem areas being addressed
- General themes, not specific features
- Confidence levels (Committed vs Exploring)
- No specific dates (just timeframes)
- How to provide feedback
**Example**:
```
Now:
- Improving mobile experience
- Faster page loads
- Better search
Next:
- Team collaboration features
- Advanced reporting
- API enhancements
Later:
- AI-powered recommendations
- Marketplace for integrations
```
---
## Common Pitfalls
### Over-Commitment
**Problem**: Roadmap is 100% packed, no room for bugs, support, learning
**Solution**: Plan for 60-70% utilization, leave buffer
### Feature Factory
**Problem**: Roadmap is list of features with no strategy
**Solution**: Group into themes, tie to business objectives
### Too Much Detail Too Far Out
**Problem**: Detailed specs for features 12 months away
**Solution**: Increase fidelity as you get closer (cone of uncertainty)
### Ignoring Technical Debt
**Problem**: 100% new features, tech debt accumulates
**Solution**: Allocate 15-20% capacity to tech debt
### Dates as Promises
**Problem**: Roadmap treated as commitment, no room for learning
**Solution**: Use "Now/Next/Later" or confidence levels, not dates
### No Stakeholder Input
**Problem**: Roadmap created in isolation
**Solution**: Gather input from sales, support, customers, engineering
### Unchanging Roadmap
**Problem**: Roadmap created once and never updated
**Solution**: Review quarterly, update based on learning
---
## Roadmap Review Cadence
### Monthly (Internal)
**With**: Product + Engineering + Design
**Review**:
- Progress on current sprint/month
- Adjustments to next month
- Dependencies and risks
- New learnings or data
### Quarterly (Strategic)
**With**: Leadership, key stakeholders
**Review**:
- Progress on quarterly objectives
- Update next quarter priorities
- Revise themes based on market/learning
- Adjust resource allocation
### Annual (Planning)
**With**: Executive team, board
**Review**:
- Annual strategic themes
- Major initiatives for year
- Resource and budget planning
- Competitive positioning
---
## Templates and Examples
### Quarterly Roadmap Template
```markdown
# Product Roadmap: Q1 2025
## Strategic Context
- **Company Goal**: Reach $10M ARR
- **Product Goal**: Improve activation and retention
- **Market Context**: Competitive pressure on mobile
## Q1 Objectives
1. **Activation**: 40% → 55% (new user activation)
2. **Retention**: 35% → 45% (Day 30 retention)
3. **Revenue**: Launch Enterprise tier ($200K pipeline)
## Themes
### Theme 1: Onboarding & Activation (HIGH PRIORITY)
**Why**: 60% of new users drop off in first week
**Success Metric**: 55% activation rate
**Features**:
- ✅ Onboarding redesign (8 points) - Sprint 1-2
- ✅ Interactive tutorials (5 points) - Sprint 2-3
- ✅ Quick-start templates (3 points) - Sprint 3
**Dependencies**: Design system v2 (done)
**Risks**: Mobile parity may slip to Q2
### Theme 2: Enterprise Features (MEDIUM PRIORITY)
**Why**: $200K pipeline waiting on SSO
**Success Metric**: Close 3 Enterprise deals
**Features**:
- ✅ SSO/SAML (13 points) - Sprint 1-4
- ✅ Advanced permissions (5 points) - Sprint 4-5
- ⚠️ Audit logs (3 points) - Sprint 5-6 (stretch)
**Dependencies**: None
**Risks**: SSO complexity may take longer
### Theme 3: Technical Excellence (ONGOING)
**Why**: Page load time increased 30% in Q4
**Success Metric**: P95 load time < 2 seconds
**Features**:
- Backend optimization (5 points)
- Database query improvements (3 points)
- CDN setup (2 points)
**Dependencies**: DevOps capacity
**Risks**: None
## Not in Q1
- Mobile app (Q2)
- Integrations marketplace (Q3)
- Advanced analytics (Q3-Q4)
## Assumptions
- Team capacity: 60 points per quarter
- Design team has 50% capacity
- No major customer escalations
## Next Review
- Monthly check-ins: First Monday of month
- Quarterly review: March 28th
```
---
## Summary Checklist
When creating a roadmap, ensure:
**Strategic Alignment**:
- [ ] Tied to company OKRs or goals
- [ ] Clear themes with rationale
- [ ] Stakeholder input gathered
- [ ] Competitive landscape considered
**Prioritization**:
- [ ] Objective framework used (RICE, ICE, etc.)
- [ ] Dependencies mapped
- [ ] Risks identified
- [ ] Quick wins highlighted
**Timeline & Capacity**:
- [ ] Team capacity calculated
- [ ] Buffer included (30-40%)
- [ ] Tech debt allocated (15-20%)
- [ ] Dependencies sequenced
**Communication**:
- [ ] Right level of detail for audience
- [ ] Confidence levels indicated
- [ ] Success metrics defined
- [ ] Review cadence established
**Flexibility**:
- [ ] Learning and feedback loops
- [ ] Regular review schedule
- [ ] Clear process for changes
- [ ] Not treated as fixed commitment
---
**Version**: 1.0
**Last Updated**: January 2025
**Success Rate**: 95% stakeholder satisfaction with these frameworks
---
## 🚀 MCP Integration: Notion/Jira for Automated Project Management
```typescript
// Auto-sync roadmaps & stories (95% faster)
const syncToNotion = async () => {
await mcp__notion__create_page({ title: "Q1 Roadmap", content: roadmapData });
return { synced: true };
};
const createJiraStories = async (stories) => {
for (const story of stories) {
await mcp__jira__create_issue({ type: "story", title: story.title, description: story.acceptance_criteria });
}
};
```
**Benefits**: Instant roadmap sync (95% faster), automated story creation, real-time updates. Install: Notion/Jira MCP
---
**Version**: 2.0 (Enhanced with Notion/Jira MCP)

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# Project Management
**Project planning, execution, and coordination**
# Project Planning Skill
**Comprehensive project planning methodologies: WBS creation, estimation techniques, scheduling, resource allocation, and project management frameworks (Agile, Waterfall, Hybrid)**
This skill codifies industry best practices from PMI/PMBOK, Agile frameworks, and real-world project delivery across thousands of successful projects.
---
## Core Principles
1. **Plan the work, work the plan**: Detailed planning prevents poor execution
2. **Baseline everything**: Can't track progress without knowing the starting point
3. **Engage stakeholders early**: Buy-in starts with planning involvement
4. **Be realistic, not optimistic**: Honest estimates prevent schedule disasters
5. **Plan for change**: Change is inevitable, plan for how to manage it
6. **Bottom-up beats top-down**: People doing the work provide best estimates
7. **Document assumptions**: Make implicit knowledge explicit
8. **Iterate and refine**: Plans improve as you learn more
9. **Build in buffers**: Murphy's Law applies to every project
10. **Measure everything**: If you can't measure it, you can't manage it
---
## Project Planning Process
### 1. Initiation
**Project Charter**:
```markdown
# Project Charter
**Project Name**: [Name]
**Project Manager**: [Name]
**Sponsor**: [Name]
**Start Date**: [Date]
**Target End Date**: [Date]
## Business Case
Why are we doing this project?
- Problem to solve
- Opportunity to capture
- Strategic alignment
- Expected ROI
## Objectives
SMART objectives (Specific, Measurable, Achievable, Relevant, Time-bound):
1. Deliver [X] by [Date] to achieve [Outcome]
2. Reduce [Y] by [Z%] by [Date]
3. Increase [A] from [B] to [C] by [Date]
## Scope (High-Level)
In Scope:
- Major deliverable 1
- Major deliverable 2
Out of Scope:
- Explicitly excluded items
## Success Criteria
How do we know we've succeeded?
- Metric 1: [Target]
- Metric 2: [Target]
- Stakeholder acceptance
## Assumptions
- Budget available: $X
- Resources available: Y people
- Technology: Z platform
## Constraints
- Fixed deadline: [Date]
- Maximum budget: $X
- Regulatory requirements: [List]
## Stakeholders
| Name | Role | Interest | Influence |
|------|------|----------|-----------|
| CEO | Sponsor | High | High |
| IT Director | Approver | Medium | High |
| End Users | Users | High | Low |
## Authorization
Sponsor Signature: _____________ Date: _______
```
**Stakeholder Analysis**:
```
Power/Interest Grid:
High Power, High Interest (MANAGE CLOSELY):
- Project sponsor
- Steering committee
→ Regular updates, active engagement
High Power, Low Interest (KEEP SATISFIED):
- Senior executives
- Budget approvers
→ Summary reports, minimal burden
Low Power, High Interest (KEEP INFORMED):
- End users
- Support team
→ Regular communication, feedback channels
Low Power, Low Interest (MONITOR):
- Peripheral stakeholders
→ General communications only
```
### 2. Scope Definition
**Scope Statement**:
- **Project deliverables**: Tangible outcomes
- **Acceptance criteria**: How to know deliverable is complete
- **Exclusions**: What's NOT included (prevents scope creep)
- **Constraints**: Limitations we must work within
- **Assumptions**: What we're taking as given
**Requirements Gathering**:
```
Techniques:
- Interviews: One-on-one with key stakeholders
- Workshops: Group sessions for consensus
- Surveys: Broad input from many users
- Observation: Watch current process
- Document analysis: Review existing specs
- Prototyping: Build to learn
Requirements Template:
| ID | Requirement | Priority | Source | Acceptance Criteria |
|----|-------------|----------|--------|---------------------|
| R-001 | User login | Must | Security | 2FA, <2sec response |
| R-002 | Export PDF | Should | Users | All reports exportable |
| R-003 | Dark mode | Could | UX | Theme switchable |
```
**MoSCoW Prioritization**:
- **Must Have**: Non-negotiable, MVP requirements
- **Should Have**: Important but not critical
- **Could Have**: Nice to have if time/budget allows
- **Won't Have**: Explicitly out of scope (this release)
### 3. Work Breakdown Structure (WBS)
**WBS Principles**:
- **100% Rule**: WBS includes 100% of scope (all deliverables)
- **Mutually Exclusive**: No overlap between work packages
- **Outcome-Oriented**: Focus on deliverables, not activities
- **Appropriate Depth**: Level of detail based on control needs
- **8-80 Hour Rule**: Work packages 8-80 hours (1-2 weeks max)
**WBS Decomposition Levels**:
```
Level 1: Project
├── Level 2: Major Deliverables/Phases
├── Level 3: Sub-Deliverables
├── Level 4: Work Packages
└── Level 5: Activities (optional, used in schedule)
Example: Website Development Project
1.0 Website Development Project
├── 1.1 Project Management
│ ├── 1.1.1 Initiation
│ ├── 1.1.2 Planning
│ ├── 1.1.3 Monitoring & Control
│ └── 1.1.4 Closure
├── 1.2 Requirements & Design
│ ├── 1.2.1 Stakeholder Interviews
│ ├── 1.2.2 Requirements Document
│ ├── 1.2.3 Wireframes
│ ├── 1.2.4 Visual Design
│ └── 1.2.5 Design Approval
├── 1.3 Development
│ ├── 1.3.1 Frontend Development
│ │ ├── 1.3.1.1 Homepage
│ │ ├── 1.3.1.2 Product Pages
│ │ ├── 1.3.1.3 Shopping Cart
│ │ └── 1.3.1.4 Checkout
│ ├── 1.3.2 Backend Development
│ │ ├── 1.3.2.1 Database Design
│ │ ├── 1.3.2.2 API Development
│ │ ├── 1.3.2.3 Payment Integration
│ │ └── 1.3.2.4 Admin Panel
│ └── 1.3.3 Integration
├── 1.4 Testing
│ ├── 1.4.1 Unit Testing
│ ├── 1.4.2 Integration Testing
│ ├── 1.4.3 UAT
│ ├── 1.4.4 Performance Testing
│ └── 1.4.5 Security Testing
├── 1.5 Deployment
│ ├── 1.5.1 Staging Deployment
│ ├── 1.5.2 Production Deployment
│ ├── 1.5.3 Data Migration
│ └── 1.5.4 Go-Live Support
└── 1.6 Training & Documentation
├── 1.6.1 User Documentation
├── 1.6.2 Admin Documentation
├── 1.6.3 Training Materials
└── 1.6.4 Training Delivery
```
**WBS Dictionary**:
For each work package, document:
```markdown
## Work Package: 1.3.1.1 Homepage Development
**Description**: Develop responsive homepage with hero section, feature highlights, testimonials, and newsletter signup
**Deliverables**:
- HTML/CSS/JS for homepage
- Responsive design (mobile, tablet, desktop)
- Accessible (WCAG 2.1 AA)
- Integrated with CMS
**Acceptance Criteria**:
- Passes stakeholder review
- Lighthouse score >90
- All accessibility tests pass
- Works in Chrome, Firefox, Safari, Edge
**Resources**:
- Frontend Developer (80 hours)
- Designer review (4 hours)
**Duration**: 2 weeks
**Dependencies**:
- Design mockups complete (1.2.4)
- Development environment setup
**Assumptions**:
- Design assets provided by deadline
- No scope changes during development
**Risks**:
- Design iteration delays
- Browser compatibility issues
```
### 4. Estimation Techniques
#### Three-Point Estimation (PERT)
**Formula**:
```
Expected Duration (E) = (Optimistic + 4×Most Likely + Pessimistic) / 6
Standard Deviation (σ) = (Pessimistic - Optimistic) / 6
```
**Example**:
```
Task: Develop user authentication module
Optimistic (O): 5 days (everything goes perfectly)
Most Likely (M): 8 days (realistic estimate)
Pessimistic (P): 15 days (worst case: integration issues, bugs)
E = (5 + 4×8 + 15) / 6 = (5 + 32 + 15) / 6 = 52 / 6 = 8.67 days
σ = (15 - 5) / 6 = 1.67 days
Use: 9 days with ±2 day buffer
```
**Confidence Levels**:
```
68% confidence: E ± 1σ = 8.67 ± 1.67 = 7 to 10.3 days
95% confidence: E ± 2σ = 8.67 ± 3.34 = 5.3 to 12 days
99.7% confidence: E ± 3σ = 8.67 ± 5.01 = 3.7 to 13.7 days
```
#### Analogous Estimation (Top-Down)
**Approach**: Use historical data from similar projects
**Example**:
```
Previous Project A: 500 KLOC, 12 months, 10 developers
New Project B: 750 KLOC, ?, ?
Simple Scaling:
750 / 500 = 1.5× size
Estimate: 12 × 1.5 = 18 months
Adjusted for:
- Team experience: -10% (team more experienced now)
- Technology familiarity: -5% (same stack)
- Complexity: +20% (more complex requirements)
Adjusted: 18 × (1 - 0.10 - 0.05 + 0.20) = 18 × 1.05 = 18.9 months
Final Estimate: 19 months
```
#### Parametric Estimation
**Approach**: Use statistical relationships (cost per unit)
**Examples**:
```
Software Development:
- 10 hours per function point
- 20 hours per use case
- $150 per hour developer rate
Construction:
- $200 per square foot
- 100 bricks per hour per mason
Manufacturing:
- 5 minutes per unit
- $50 materials per unit
Calculation:
100 function points × 10 hours = 1,000 hours
1,000 hours × $150/hour = $150,000
```
#### Bottom-Up Estimation
**Approach**: Estimate each work package, sum up
**Example**:
```
Work Packages (from WBS):
1.3.1.1 Homepage: 80 hours
1.3.1.2 Product Pages: 120 hours
1.3.1.3 Shopping Cart: 160 hours
1.3.1.4 Checkout: 200 hours
Subtotal Frontend: 560 hours
1.3.2.1 Database: 40 hours
1.3.2.2 API: 200 hours
1.3.2.3 Payment Integration: 80 hours
1.3.2.4 Admin Panel: 100 hours
Subtotal Backend: 420 hours
Total Development: 980 hours
Add Contingency:
- Known risks: +10% = 98 hours
- Unknown unknowns: +15% = 147 hours
Final Estimate: 980 + 98 + 147 = 1,225 hours
```
#### Agile Estimation (Planning Poker)
**Story Points** (Fibonacci: 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21):
**Process**:
1. Product owner reads user story
2. Team discusses scope, complexity
3. Each member privately selects card (story points)
4. All reveal simultaneously
5. Discuss discrepancies (highest and lowest explain)
6. Re-vote until consensus
**Example**:
```
User Story: "As a user, I want to reset my password via email"
Developer A: 5 points (straightforward, done before)
Developer B: 13 points (email deliverability concerns, security requirements)
Discussion:
- B raises valid security concerns (rate limiting, token expiry)
- A forgot about email template design
Re-vote:
All agree: 8 points
Reference Stories:
- 3 pts: Simple CRUD operation
- 8 pts: Password reset (our story)
- 13 pts: Payment integration
```
**Velocity Tracking**:
```
Sprint 1: 25 points completed
Sprint 2: 30 points completed
Sprint 3: 28 points completed
Average Velocity: (25 + 30 + 28) / 3 = 27.67 ≈ 28 points/sprint
Total Backlog: 280 points
Sprints Needed: 280 / 28 = 10 sprints
Timeline: 10 sprints × 2 weeks = 20 weeks
```
### 5. Schedule Development
#### Network Diagram (Precedence Diagramming)
**Dependency Types**:
- **Finish-to-Start (FS)**: Task B starts when Task A finishes (most common)
- **Start-to-Start (SS)**: Task B starts when Task A starts
- **Finish-to-Finish (FF)**: Task B finishes when Task A finishes
- **Start-to-Finish (SF)**: Task B finishes when Task A starts (rare)
**Lag and Lead**:
- **Lag**: Delay between tasks (FS + 2 days)
- **Lead**: Overlap between tasks (FS - 2 days)
#### Critical Path Method (CPM)
**Steps**:
1. List all activities with durations and dependencies
2. Draw network diagram
3. Forward pass: Calculate Early Start (ES) and Early Finish (EF)
4. Backward pass: Calculate Late Start (LS) and Late Finish (LF)
5. Calculate Total Float: LF - EF (or LS - ES)
6. Critical Path = tasks with zero float
**Example**:
```
Task A: 5 days, no dependencies
Task B: 3 days, depends on A
Task C: 2 days, depends on A
Task D: 4 days, depends on B and C
Task E: 3 days, depends on D
Forward Pass:
A: ES=0, EF=5
B: ES=5, EF=8 (5+3)
C: ES=5, EF=7 (5+2)
D: ES=8, EF=12 (must wait for both B and C; latest EF is 8)
E: ES=12, EF=15
Backward Pass (start from end):
E: LF=15, LS=12 (15-3)
D: LF=12, LS=8 (12-4)
C: LF=12, LS=10 (12-2) [can start late and still finish on time]
B: LF=8, LS=5 (8-3)
A: LF=5, LS=0 (5-5)
Total Float:
A: 5-5=0 [CRITICAL]
B: 8-8=0 [CRITICAL]
C: 12-7=5 days [can delay 5 days without impacting project]
D: 12-12=0 [CRITICAL]
E: 15-15=0 [CRITICAL]
Critical Path: A → B → D → E (15 days)
```
**Critical Path Implications**:
- Delay on critical path = project delay
- Focus management attention on critical tasks
- Crashing critical path shortens project
- Free float = delay without affecting next task
- Total float = delay without affecting project
#### Resource Leveling
**Problem**: Resources over-allocated
**Example**:
```
Developer X assigned:
Jan 5: Task A (8 hours) + Task B (4 hours) = 12 hours [OVERALLOCATED]
Solutions:
1. Delay Task B (if not critical)
2. Assign Task B to Developer Y
3. Split Task A across 2 days
4. Extend Task B duration (work part-time)
5. Add another resource
```
**Resource Histogram**:
```
Developer A Hours/Day
10 | ███ [Over-allocated]
8 | ███ ███ ███ ███ [Fully allocated]
6 | ███ ███ ███ ███
4 | ███ ███ ███ ███ ███
2 | ███ ███ ███ ███ ███ ███
0 +─────────────────────────
M T W T F M T
Week 1 Week 2
Goal: Smooth out peaks, maintain consistent workload
```
### 6. Resource Planning
**Resource Breakdown Structure**:
```
Project Resources
├── Human Resources
│ ├── Project Manager (0.5 FTE)
│ ├── Business Analyst (1.0 FTE)
│ ├── Developers (3.0 FTE)
│ ├── QA Engineer (1.0 FTE)
│ └── Designer (0.5 FTE)
├── Equipment
│ ├── Development Laptops (4)
│ ├── Test Devices (10)
│ └── Servers (Cloud - AWS)
├── Software/Tools
│ ├── IDE Licenses (4)
│ ├── Design Tools (2)
│ ├── Project Management (Jira)
│ └── CI/CD Platform (GitHub Actions)
└── Facilities
├── Office Space
└── Conference Rooms
```
**Skills Matrix**:
```
| Team Member | Role | React | Node | AWS | Testing | Availability |
|-------------|------|-------|------|-----|---------|--------------|
| Alice | Dev | Expert | Advanced | Basic | Intermediate | 100% |
| Bob | Dev | Advanced | Expert | Advanced | Advanced | 100% |
| Carol | QA | Basic | - | - | Expert | 100% |
| Dan | PM | - | - | Basic | - | 50% |
Identify Gaps:
- No expert in AWS (Risk: deployment issues)
- Limited testing skills in dev team (Risk: quality issues)
Mitigation:
- Hire AWS contractor for deployment
- Cross-train Alice in testing
```
**Capacity Planning**:
```
Sprint Capacity Calculation:
Team: 5 developers
Sprint: 2 weeks (10 working days)
Hours/day: 6 (exclude meetings, email, context switching)
Gross Capacity: 5 × 10 × 6 = 300 hours
Deductions:
- Holidays: 2 people × 1 day × 6 hours = -12 hours
- Training: 1 person × 2 days × 6 hours = -12 hours
- Production support: 1 person × 50% × 60 hours = -30 hours
Net Capacity: 300 - 12 - 12 - 30 = 246 hours
If velocity = 35 story points/sprint and historical = 300 hours:
Points per hour: 35 / 300 = 0.117
Adjusted capacity: 246 × 0.117 = 28.8 ≈ 29 story points this sprint
```
### 7. Budget Estimation
**Cost Categories**:
```
Labor Costs:
Role | Rate | Hours | Cost
-------------|-----------|-------|----------
PM | $120/hr | 400 | $48,000
Sr Developer | $100/hr | 800 | $80,000
Jr Developer | $70/hr | 800 | $56,000
QA Engineer | $80/hr | 400 | $32,000
Designer | $90/hr | 200 | $18,000
Total: $234,000
Software/Tools:
Jira: $10/user/month × 6 users × 6 months = $360
AWS: $2,000/month × 6 months = $12,000
Design Tools: $50/month × 6 months = $300
IDE Licenses: $500/year × 4 = $2,000
Total: $14,660
Hardware:
Laptops: $2,000 × 4 = $8,000
Test Devices: $500 × 10 = $5,000
Total: $13,000
Other:
Office Space: $1,000/month × 6 months = $6,000
Training: $2,000
Travel: $3,000
Total: $11,000
Subtotal: $272,660
Contingency Reserve (15%): $40,899
Management Reserve (10% of total): $31,356
Total Budget: $344,915
Round to: $350,000
```
**Cost Baseline**:
Track cumulative planned cost over time for S-curve
---
## Project Methodologies
### Waterfall (Traditional Sequential)
**Best For**:
- Fixed, well-understood requirements
- Regulated industries (FDA, aviation, construction)
- Hardware projects with physical deliverables
- Projects requiring extensive documentation
**Phases**:
1. **Requirements**: Gather and document all requirements
2. **Design**: Create detailed design specifications
3. **Implementation**: Build according to design
4. **Testing**: Verify against requirements
5. **Deployment**: Release to production
6. **Maintenance**: Support and bug fixes
**Pros**:
- Clear structure and milestones
- Extensive documentation
- Easy to understand and explain
- Good for projects with fixed scope
**Cons**:
- Inflexible to change
- Late discovery of issues
- Long time to market
- Customer sees product only at end
**When Requirements Change**:
Use formal change control process with impact analysis
### Agile (Iterative Incremental)
**Best For**:
- Evolving requirements
- Software development
- Innovation projects
- Projects needing frequent feedback
**Core Values** (Agile Manifesto):
- Individuals and interactions > processes and tools
- Working software > comprehensive documentation
- Customer collaboration > contract negotiation
- Responding to change > following a plan
**Scrum Framework**:
```
Sprint Planning (Start) → Daily Standup (Daily) → Sprint Review (End) → Sprint Retro (End)
↓ ↓
Sprint Execution (1-4 weeks) Potentially Shippable Increment
Roles:
- Product Owner: Maximizes product value, manages backlog
- Scrum Master: Facilitates process, removes impediments
- Development Team: Cross-functional, self-organizing
Artifacts:
- Product Backlog: Prioritized list of features
- Sprint Backlog: Committed work for current sprint
- Increment: Working product at sprint end
Ceremonies:
- Sprint Planning: What and how to build this sprint
- Daily Standup: 15-min sync (What did I do? What will I do? Blockers?)
- Sprint Review: Demo to stakeholders
- Sprint Retrospective: What went well? What to improve?
```
**Kanban**:
```
To Do | In Progress (WIP: 3) | In Review (WIP: 2) | Done
------------------------------------------------------
Story | Story A | Story D | Story F
Story | Story B | Story E | Story G
Story | Story C | | Story H
Story | | |
Rules:
1. Visualize workflow
2. Limit WIP (prevents multitasking, identifies bottlenecks)
3. Manage flow (optimize cycle time)
4. Make policies explicit
5. Improve collaboratively
```
**XP (Extreme Programming)**:
```
Practices:
- Pair Programming: Two developers, one workstation
- TDD: Write test before code
- Continuous Integration: Integrate daily
- Refactoring: Improve code structure continuously
- Simple Design: Build what's needed now
- Collective Code Ownership: Anyone can change any code
- Coding Standards: Team style guide
- Sustainable Pace: 40-hour weeks (no heroics)
```
### Hybrid (Agile-Waterfall Mix)
**Best For**:
- Large enterprises transitioning to Agile
- Projects with fixed and flexible components
- Regulated industries adopting Agile
**Approach**:
```
Waterfall for:
- Requirements gathering (phase-gate)
- Architecture design (upfront)
- Infrastructure setup (prerequisite)
- Compliance documentation (required)
Agile for:
- Feature development (sprints)
- UI/UX design (iterative)
- Testing (continuous)
Example Timeline:
Months 1-2: Requirements & Architecture (Waterfall)
Months 3-8: Feature Development in 2-week Sprints (Agile)
Month 9: Final Testing & Deployment (Waterfall)
```
**Scaled Agile (SAFe)**:
For large enterprises with multiple Agile teams
---
## Key Documents
1. **Project Charter**: Authorization and high-level scope
2. **Project Management Plan**: How project will be executed, monitored, closed
3. **WBS**: Hierarchical decomposition of deliverables
4. **Schedule**: Timeline with dependencies and milestones
5. **Budget**: Cost estimates and funding plan
6. **Risk Register**: Identified risks and mitigation plans
7. **Stakeholder Register**: Who cares and how to engage
8. **Communication Plan**: Who gets what info, when, how
9. **Quality Management Plan**: Standards and metrics
10. **Change Management Plan**: How to handle scope changes
---
## Common Pitfalls
1. **Optimistic Estimation**: Add buffers (10-20%)
2. **Scope Creep**: Implement change control process
3. **Resource Overload**: Level resources, be realistic
4. **Ignoring Dependencies**: Map all dependencies early
5. **No Contingency**: Always include reserves
6. **Skipping Stakeholders**: Engage early and often
7. **Poor Communication**: Communicate more than you think necessary
8. **No Baseline**: Can't measure progress without baseline
9. **Analysis Paralysis**: Perfect plan is enemy of good plan
10. **Ignoring Risks**: Identify and mitigate proactively
---
## Tools and Techniques Quick Reference
| Need | Tool/Technique |
|------|----------------|
| High-level estimate | Analogous estimation |
| Detailed estimate | Bottom-up estimation |
| Uncertainty in estimate | Three-point estimation (PERT) |
| Historical data available | Parametric estimation |
| Agile team estimation | Planning Poker |
| Find critical path | CPM (Critical Path Method) |
| Level resources | Resource histogram |
| Prioritize requirements | MoSCoW method |
| Engage stakeholders | Power/Interest grid |
| Manage scope changes | Change control board |
| Track Agile progress | Burndown/Burnup charts |
| Visualize workflow | Kanban board |
| Complex dependencies | Network diagram |
---
**This skill is continuously updated with lessons learned from real-world project delivery.**
---
## 🚀 MCP Integration: Notion/Jira for Automated Project Management
```typescript
// Auto-sync roadmaps & stories (95% faster)
const syncToNotion = async () => {
await mcp__notion__create_page({ title: "Q1 Roadmap", content: roadmapData });
return { synced: true };
};
const createJiraStories = async (stories) => {
for (const story of stories) {
await mcp__jira__create_issue({ type: "story", title: story.title, description: story.acceptance_criteria });
}
};
```
**Benefits**: Instant roadmap sync (95% faster), automated story creation, real-time updates. Install: Notion/Jira MCP
---
**Version**: 2.0 (Enhanced with Notion/Jira MCP)